The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Crawford (NYSE:CRD.B) Shareholders as Stock Falls 8.9% Over the Past Week
The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Crawford (NYSE:CRD.B) Shareholders as Stock Falls 8.9% Over the Past Week
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, Crawford & Company (NYSE:CRD.B) shareholders have seen the share price rise 38% over three years, well in excess of the market return (18%, not including dividends).
通过购买指数基金,您可以轻松地大致匹配市场回报。但如果您选择个别股票,您可以获得更优异的回报。例如,克劳福德公司(纽交所:CRD.B)的股东在三年内看到股价上涨了38%,远远超过市场回报(18%,不包括分红派息)。
While this past week has detracted from the company's three-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
尽管上周的表现影响了公司的三年回报,但我们来看看基础业务的近期趋势,看看收益是否与之保持一致。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
在他的文章《Graham与Doddsville的超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映业务的价值。检查市场情绪随时间变化的一种方法是观察公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
Over the last three years, Crawford failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 17% (annualized).
在过去三年中,克劳福德未能增长每股收益,下降了17%(年化)。
Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Given this situation, it makes sense to look at other metrics too.
因此,目前市场似乎并没有专注于每股收益的增长。在这种情况下,查看其他指标也是合理的。
It may well be that Crawford revenue growth rate of 5.4% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth, and maybe shareholder's faith in better days ahead will be rewarded.
克劳福德在三年内5.4%的营业收入增长率可能已经让股东相信光明的未来。在这种情况下,公司可能在牺牲当前的每股收益以推动增长,也许股东对美好未来的信心将会带来回报。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

We know that Crawford has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Crawford stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
我们知道克劳福德最近改善了其盈利状况,但未来将带来怎样的变化?如果您打算买入或卖出克劳福德股票,您应该查看这份免费的报告,了解分析师的利润预测。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Crawford's TSR for the last 3 years was 52%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股价回报,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一个回报计算方法,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何分红都被再投资)以及任何折扣筹资和剥离的计算价值。可以说,TSR为支付分红的股票提供了更完整的图景。实际上,克劳福德过去三年的TSR为52%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。公司支付的分红因此提升了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Investors in Crawford had a tough year, with a total loss of 9.6% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 25%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 6% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Crawford is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...
投资者在克劳福德经历了艰难的一年,整体亏损为9.6%(包括分红),而市场则上涨约25%。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票,在十二个月的时间里,有时也会表现不及市场。好的一面是,长期股东获得了收益,在五年内每年增长6%。最近的卖出可能是一个机会,值得检查基本数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响是非常重要的,但还有其他因素更为重要。尽管如此,请注意,克劳福德在我们的投资分析中显示出了两个警告信号,其中一个有点不愉快……
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更倾向于查看其他公司——一个财务状况可能更优的公司——那么不要错过这个免费的公司列表,它们已经证明能够实现盈利增长。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在美国交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。