Wan Kei Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1718) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 45% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 76% share price drop in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Wan Kei Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Wan Kei Group Holdings Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Wan Kei Group Holdings, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this good revenue growth might only be parallel to the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Wan Kei Group Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Wan Kei Group Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Wan Kei Group Holdings?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Wan Kei Group Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.8% last year. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 8.8% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Wan Kei Group Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Wan Kei Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
Wan Kei Group Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We find it unexpected that Wan Kei Group Holdings trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Wan Kei Group Holdings (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Wan Kei Group Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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