According to Zhito Finance APP, CITIC SEC released a Research Report stating that recent information indicates that Tesla's Optimus project is expected to welcome an important version update soon and enter formal mass production in 2025, with explosive growth at a rate of tenfold per year for the following two years. In addition, North American AI giants have also stated that robots will be the next strategic focus. The firm believes that the above information is likely to inject strong confidence into the humanoid robot Sector, and it also means that investment nodes are becoming clearer, with a focus on the core component companies in the Tesla chain.

Investment Strategy: With the acceleration of robot projects, it is recommended to focus on the core links of Tesla's robot Industry Chain, suggesting to pay special attention to: 1) Assemblies; 2) Reducers; 3) Lead screws; 4) Dexterous hands. It is also advised to monitor other important players in key links.

The main points of the Citic Securities research report are as follows:

Various sources indicate that the Optimus project is expected to enter a mass production acceleration phase this year.

According to X platform Tesla Owners Silicon Valley users, on January 9, Musk mentioned in an interview that Tesla is expected to produce thousands of robots by 2025 and conduct preliminary testing at its own factory. If everything goes smoothly, it may produce between 0.05 million to 0.1 million robots in 2026, and again expand tenfold to around 0.5 million robots by 2027. Meanwhile, Tesla opinion leader Whole Mars Catalog recently posted on X, stating that Tesla will start mass production at the Texas factory in the fourth quarter of 2025. This further corroborates the previous disclosure of the robot mass production progress during Tesla's communication with investors, and the firm believes Optimus has a high chance of entering true mass production in 2025.

Musk has also provided expectations for the version updates of Optimus, making investment nodes increasingly clear.

On January 8th, Musk mentioned during a Game Live Streaming that "we may launch the Optimus update in a few weeks, the entire project is progressing very smoothly, and the team is performing excellently." Combined with the video of the 22-degree of freedom dexterous hand grabbing a tennis ball and walking in the wild displayed by Tesla at the end of 2024, it is believed that Tesla already has the hardware foundation to showcase the GEN3 version and may soon provide an official version update, which is expected to bring more types of work capabilities on display. It is believed that this version update signifies the basic determination of hardware selection, and supply chain manufacturers are expected to receive further targeted information and capacity planning, with investment nodes becoming increasingly clear.

NVIDIA and other North American Technology giants are accelerating the development progress of the entire embodied AI.

At CES 2025 on January 7th, Huang Renxun announced that NVIDIA's next phase goal is physical AI, while releasing the Cosmos world foundational model. From Huang Renxun proposing the Concept of embodied AI in 2023, to forming the GEAR team specifically to study general embodied AI in 2024, to clearly stating the next phase strategic planning focusing on physical AI in 2025, it is believed that the company's investment in embodied AI, i.e., robots, is increasing layer by layer. On one hand, NVIDIA, as a "shovel seller," will accelerate the progress of downstream robot Ontology, and on the other hand, the large corporations' all-in attitude is also expected to stimulate the investment competition in the Technology circle regarding robots, thus igniting the industry's excitement.

Risk factors: Tesla's robot project progresses below expectations, and the technological advancement in the robot Industry is below expectations.