Zhejiang Youpon Integrated Ceiling Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002718) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 13% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may consider Zhejiang Youpon Integrated CeilingLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does Zhejiang Youpon Integrated CeilingLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhejiang Youpon Integrated CeilingLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Youpon Integrated CeilingLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Zhejiang Youpon Integrated CeilingLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 20% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 21% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Youpon Integrated CeilingLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Zhejiang Youpon Integrated CeilingLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Zhejiang Youpon Integrated CeilingLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Youpon Integrated CeilingLtd (2 are significant!) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Youpon Integrated CeilingLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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