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Sundial Growers Is Poised for a Rally Unrelated to Its Meme Status

Sundial Growers Is Poised for a Rally Unrelated to Its Meme Status

日规种植者将迎来一场与其Meme地位无关的拉力赛
InvestorPlace ·  2021/07/05 06:00

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Sundial Growers (NASDAQ:SNDL) is an attractive penny stock that also has an increasing short interest. That’s one reason that makes SNDL stock worth considering at current levels of 97 cents.

日规种植者(纳斯达克股票代码:SNDL)是一只很有吸引力的便士股票,也有越来越多的空头兴趣。这是使SNDL股票在目前97美分的水平上值得考虑的原因之一。

Source: Jan Havlicek/shutterstock.com
来源:Jan Havlicek/Shuterstock.com

As the Reddit army continues to grow, penny stocks have remained in focus.

作为红迪军队继续增长,细价股一直是关注的焦点。

At the same time, retail investors have been targeting stocks that have a high percentage of shares shorted. The short squeeze rally has the potential to deliver multi-fold returns in a short span of time.

与此同时,散户投资者一直在瞄准做空股票比例较高的股票。这波空头挤压涨势有可能在短时间内带来数倍回报。

However, SNDL stock is not a pure speculative bet. I believe that some medium to long-term exposure can be considered to the cannabis stock. This column will highlight some of the fundamental factors that make Sundial worth considering.

然而,SNDL股票并不是纯粹的投机性押注。我认为可以考虑对大麻库存进行一些中长期接触。本专栏将重点介绍一些使太阳表值得考虑的基本因素。


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At the onset, there are increasing hopes of Federal level legalization of cannabis in the United States. Progress on that front can spark a rally for all cannabis stocks.

一开始,人们对美国联邦一级大麻合法化的希望越来越大。这方面的进展可能会引发所有大麻库存的反弹。

Sundial might not have presence in the United States yet, but the company is well positioned financially for making some big investments.

日规可能还没有进入美国,但该公司在财务上处于有利地位,可以进行一些大笔投资。

Recent estimates suggest that the global CBD market will be worth $2.7 billion in fiscal 2021. Further, the market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 51% through 2030.

最近的估计表明,2021财年全球CBD市场的价值将达到27亿美元。此外,到2030年,市场预计将以51%的复合年增长率增长。

By the company’s own estimates, the global legal cannabis market is likely to be worth $47 billion by 2025.

根据该公司自己的估计,到2025年,全球合法大麻市场的价值可能达到470亿美元。

Clearly, with a multi-year industry tailwind, I would be tempted to invest in a company that is positioning itself for strong growth.

显然,凭借多年的行业顺风,我会忍不住投资于一家定位于强劲增长的公司。

Big Cash Buffer and SNDL Stock

大现金缓冲与SNDL股票

I believe that Sundial is at a growth inflection point. A key reason is the fact that the company has a cash buffer of $873.5 million. This gives it flexibility to invest in organic and inorganic growth.

我相信日规正处于成长的拐点。一个关键原因是该公司拥有8.735亿美元的现金缓冲。这给了它投资有机和无机增长的灵活性。

Currently, Sundial has a portfolio of brands with a focus on inhalables as opposed to edibles. The company has already accelerated investment in its sales team. This will help in increasing the distribution network through Canada.

目前,Sunial拥有一系列品牌,重点放在可吸入产品上,而不是可食用产品上。该公司已经加快了对其销售团队的投资。这将有助于增加加拿大的分销网络。

Healthy revenue growth is likely in the coming quarters from the in-house brand portfolio.

未来几个季度,来自内部品牌组合的收入可能会出现健康增长。

An important point to note is that for Q1 2021, the company’s branded cannabis sales mix was 74% of sales. As the weight of branded products increases, it’s very likely that EBITDA margin will improve.

值得注意的一点是,2021年第一季度,该公司品牌大麻的销售组合占销售额的74%。随着品牌产品的权重增加,EBITDA利润率很可能会提高。

For Q1 2021, the company invested $96 million in cannabis related portfolio investments. This generated revenue of $15.7 million. It’s very likely that the company will continue to invest in global cannabis related opportunities.

2021年第一季度,该公司在大麻相关的证券投资中投资了9600万美元。这带来了1570万美元的收入。该公司很可能会继续投资于全球大麻相关的机会。

As a matter of fact, Sundial already has a joint venture with SAF Group. The JV intends to invest in debt, equity and hybrid instruments globally. Sundial has committed $188 million towards this JV.

事实上,太阳表盘公司已经与日产公司成立了合资公司。SAF集团。合资公司打算在全球范围内投资于债务、股权和混合工具。太阳表盘公司已经承诺为这家合资企业提供1.88亿美元。

Therefore, revenue from investments will accelerate in the next 12-24 months. This will support EBITDA upside and cash flow growth. As of May 2021, the company already had $76 million in marketable securities and $254 million in investments.

因此,未来12-24个月,投资收入将加速增长。这将支持EBITDA上行和现金流增长。截至2021年5月,该公司已经拥有7600万美元的有价证券和2.54亿美元的投资。

Additionally, I wouldn’t be surprised if Sundial continues to pursue acquisitions. Recently, the company acquired Inner Spirit Holdings, which has 86 stores in operation in Canada.

此外,如果Sunial继续寻求收购,我也不会感到惊讶。最近,该公司收购了在加拿大拥有86家门店的Inside spirity Holdings。

These stores can potentially be used to expand the visibility of the company’s own brand of products. The acquisition will be completed by Q3 2021. Therefore, the impact of the acquisition on growth is likely to be visible in 2022 and beyond.

这些商店可能被用来扩大公司自有品牌产品的知名度。此次收购将于2021年第三季度完成。因此,此次收购对增长的影响可能会在2022年及以后显现出来。

Concluding Views

结论意见

It’s possibly a make-or-break time for SNDL stock. The stock price trend largely depends on the company’s utilization of the cash buffer.

现在可能是SNDL股票成败的关键时刻。股价走势在很大程度上取决于公司对现金缓冲的利用情况。

One or two strategic investments or acquisitions that have the potential to create long-term value can send SNDL stock flying.

I am optimistic considering the company’s partnership with SAF Group and the efforts to increase its own brand visibility.

考虑到该公司与SAF集团的合作伙伴关系以及提高自身品牌知名度的努力,我持乐观态度。

Further, strategic investments and investments in marketable securities is likely to boost recurring cash flows.

Therefore, it makes sense to remain invested in SNDL stock. I would not be surprised if the stock breaches the previous highs of $3.96 in the next few quarters.

因此,继续投资SNDL股票是有意义的。

On the date of publication, Faisal Humayun did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,费萨尔·胡马云没有(直接或间接)持有本文提到的任何证券的头寸。本文中表达的观点是作者的观点,受InvestorPlace.com发布指南的约束。

Faisal Humayun is a senior research analyst with 12 years of industry experience in the field of credit research, equity research and financial modelling. Faisal has authored over 1,500 stock specific articles with focus on the technology, energy and commodities sector.

费萨尔·胡马云(Faisal Humayun)是一名高级研究分析师,在信贷研究、股票研究和金融建模领域拥有12年的行业经验。

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