share_log

An Ether futures ETF is next likely step after ProShares watershed bitcoin moment, a former SEC official explains

An Ether futures ETF is next likely step after ProShares watershed bitcoin moment, a former SEC official explains

一位前SEC官員解釋説,在ProShares分水嶺比特幣時刻之後,Ether期貨ETF可能是下一步
DowjonesNews MarketWatch ·  2021/10/24 10:33

By Frances Yue

作者:弗朗西斯·嶽(Frances Yue)

We've witnessed two historical moments for bitcoin this week: debut of the first bitcoin-linked ETF in the U.S., and a record high for bitcoin.

本週,我們見證了比特幣的兩個歷史性時刻:第一隻與比特幣掛鈎的ETF在美國首次亮相,另一隻比特幣創下歷史新高。

Hi there! Welcome to the fourth and final installment of Need to Know Crypto Edition, ahead of the launch of a new weekly crypto newsletter "Distributed Ledger," which will kick off next month. I'm Frances Yue, crypto reporter at MarketWatch, and I'll walk you through the latest and greatest in digital assets this week so far.

嗨你好啊!歡迎收看Need to Know Crypto Edition的第四期,也是最後一期,之後將於下月推出新的每週密碼時事通訊“Distributed Ledger”。我是MarketWatch的密碼記者弗朗西絲·嶽,我將帶你瞭解本週到目前為止最新和最偉大的數字資產。

Use this link to subscribe to Distributed Ledger.

使用此鏈接訂閲分佈式分類帳。

One other thing, MarketWatch and Barron's are gathering the most influential figures in crypto to help identify the opportunities and risks that lie ahead in digital assets on Oct. 27 and Nov. 3. Sign up now!

還有一件事,MarketWatch和Barron‘s正在召集密碼領域最具影響力的人物,以幫助識別10月27日和11月3日數字資產面臨的機會和風險。現在就報名吧!

Crypto in a snap

一蹴而就的加密

We've witnessed two historical moments for bitcoin this week. ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO), the first bitcoin-linked exchange-traded fund in the U.S., made its debut on Tuesday. After that, bitcoin hit an all-time high on Wednesday, trading near $67,000, surpassing its previous record high of $64,889 in April, according to CoinDesk data. As of noon Friday, bitcoin rose 5.1% for the past seven days, and 48.9% for the past 30 days.

本週,我們見證了比特幣的兩個歷史性時刻。美國首隻比特幣掛鈎交易所交易基金(ETF)ProShares比特幣策略ETF(Bito)週二首次亮相。之後,根據CoinDesk的數據,比特幣週三創下歷史新高,交易價格接近6.7萬美元,超過了4月份創下的64889美元的歷史新高。截至週五中午,比特幣過去七日累計上漲5.1%,過去30日累計上漲48.9%。

Ether also neared its all-time high, trading at $4,370 on Thursday, slightly below its record high of $4,379.11 in May.

乙醚也接近歷史高位,週四交易價格為4,370美元,略低於5月份創下的4,379.11美元的紀錄高位。

Crypto Metrics

加密指標

 Biggest Gainers  Price  % 7-day return  OKB  $28.3  70.6%  THORChain  $10.9  38.9%  Huobi Token  $10.2  33.6%  Fantom  $2.6  31.2%  Nexo  $2.3  30.3%      Source: CoinMarketCap.com as of Oct. 22  Biggest Decliners  Price  % 7-day return  Flow  $13.6  -22.8%  Telcoin  $0.02  -15.9%  Celsius  $5  -14.2%  Perpetual Protocol  $16  -12.44%  dYdX  $19.9  -12.3%      Source: CoinMarketCap.com as of Oct. 22 
最大漲幅價格%7日回報OKB$28.3 70.6%THORChain$10.9 38.9%Huobi Token$10.2 33.6%Fantom$2.6 31.2%Nexo$2.3 30.3%來源:coinmarket cap.com截至10月22日跌幅最大的股票價格%7日回報流量$13.6-22.8%TelCoin$0.02-15.9%攝氏$5-14.2%Perpetual Protocol$16-12.44%dYdX$199-12.3%來源:coinmarket cap.com截至10月22日

A Grayscale bitcoin ETF?

灰度比特幣ETF?

On the same day of BITO's debut, digital asset manager Grayscale filed to turn Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), the world's largest bitcoin fund, to a spot bitcoin ETF, which is different from ProShares's bitcoin futures ETF greenlighted by the SEC.

就在Bito首發的同一天,數字資產管理公司Grayscale申請將全球最大的比特幣基金Grayscale比特幣信託(GBTC)轉為現貨比特幣ETF,這與ProShares受SEC啟發的比特幣期貨ETF不同。

Grayscale has a good reason. A conversion to an ETF from its current trust structure will help mitigate GBTC's long-lasting problem: shares haven't always aligned with the price of bitcoin. GBTC has been trading at a discount to its net asset value, or its underlying bitcoin holdings since February, as investors turn to alternatives in the equity market to gain exposure in bitcoin, such as bitcoin ETFs in Canada.

灰度有一個很好的理由。從目前的信託結構轉換為ETF將有助於緩解GBTC的長期問題:股票並不總是與比特幣的價格保持一致。自2月份以來,GBTC的交易價格一直低於其資產淨值或基礎比特幣持有量,因為投資者轉向股市的其他選擇,以獲得比特幣敞口,比如加拿大的比特幣ETF。

On Monday, whenthe crypto market celebrated the SEC's approval for BITO, GBTC's discount to its net asset value widened to 20.5%.

週一,當密碼市場慶祝SEC批准Bito時,GBTC相對於其資產淨值的折讓擴大至20.5%。

Different from close-end funds, an ETF allows designated organizations to create and redeem shares of the ETF to keep its price in line with the net asset value. So GBTC's discount will no longer be a problem, if its plan gets the regulatory go-ahead.

與封閉式基金不同,ETF允許指定機構創建和贖回ETF的股票,以使其價格與資產淨值保持一致。因此,如果GBTC的計劃獲得監管部門的批准,它的折扣將不再是一個問題。

Grayscale's conversion efforts have been in the works for years--it submitted a bitcoin ETF application back in 2016 only to withdraw it--and it has repeatedly expressed its commitment to change its fund structure to retain its dominant position as the largest crypto asset manager.

Greyscale的轉換努力多年來一直在醖釀之中--該公司在2016年提交了一份比特幣ETF申請,結果只是撤回了申請--該公司一再表示,將改變其基金結構,以保持其作為最大加密資產管理公司的主導地位。

"At Grayscale, we believe that if regulators are comfortable with ETFs that hold futures of a given asset, they should also be comfortable with ETFs that offer exposure to the spot price of that same asset," Dave LaValle, global head of ETFs at Grayscale Investments said on Tuesday.

Grayscale Investments全球ETF主管戴夫·拉瓦萊(Dave LaValle)週二表示:“在Grayscale,我們認為,如果監管者對持有給定資產期貨的ETF感到滿意,他們也應該對提供對該資產現貨價格敞口的ETF感到滿意。”

However, some analysts argue that a spot bitcoin ETF may still be far away.

不過,一些分析師認為,現貨比特幣ETF可能還很遙遠。

Bitcoin futures have been regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission since 2018, while such products are traded at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, one of the world's largest exchanges for derivatives. "That's what got the SEC comfortable with allowing this [bitcoin futures ETF] product. You don't see that with the underlying [physical bitcoin]," Carlo di Florio, global chief services officer at compliance advisor ACA Group and a former officer at the SEC, told MarketWatch in a phone interview.

自2018年以來,比特幣期貨一直受到美國商品期貨交易委員會(CFTC)的監管,而這類產品在全球最大的衍生品交易所之一芝加哥商品交易所(Chicago Mercantile Exchange)交易。“這就是美國證券交易委員會允許這樣做的原因。[比特幣期貨ETF]產品。你看不到這一點與潛在的[實物比特幣]合規諮詢公司ACA Group的全球首席服務官、前SEC官員Carlo di Florio在電話採訪中告訴MarketWatch。

"I think there's going to be a lot more work that needs to be done by firms to design products that provide investor protection and market integrity assurance before we see a green light on [bitcoin] spot [ETFs]," di Florio said.

“我認為,在我們看到綠燈之前,公司還需要做更多的工作來設計提供投資者保護和市場誠信保證的產品。”[比特幣]斑點[ETFs]“迪弗洛里奧説。

Ether futures ETFs, which are also traded at CME, might be more foreseeable than spot bitcoin ETFs, according to di Florio. "Because it's futures," di Florio said. "And it follows the same path that got the SEC comfortable with the Bitcoin futures ETF. So they're likely to benefit from the same regulatory comfort."

迪弗洛里奧表示,同樣在芝加哥商品交易所(CME)交易的以太期貨ETF可能比現貨比特幣ETF更具預見性。“因為這是期貨,”迪弗洛里奧説。“它遵循了讓SEC對比特幣期貨ETF感到滿意的同一條道路。因此,他們可能會從同樣的監管舒適感中受益。”

In August, VanEck and ProShares both dropped their applications for ether futures ETFs two days after they filed the application. Some analysts suspected that the SEC reached out to both issuers and indicated that ether-linked ETFs wouldn't likely to be approved, at least not before any bitcoin-linked ETFs get the nod.

今年8月,Vaneck和ProShares在提交申請兩天後都放棄了以太期貨ETF的申請。一些分析師懷疑,SEC聯繫了這兩家發行人,並表示以太掛鈎ETF不太可能獲得批准,至少在比特幣掛鈎ETF獲得批准之前不會。

Darius Sit, managing partner at digital asset trading firm QCP Capital, echoed di Florio's point, saying that an ether futures ETF might be approved before the middle of next year.

數字資產交易公司QCP Capital的管理合夥人達利烏斯·西特(Darius Sit)呼應了迪弗洛里奧的觀點,稱以太期貨ETF可能在明年年中之前獲得批准。

Three's a crowd?

三個人很擠嗎?

VanEck is slated to be the next fund provider to roll out a bitcoin futures ETF. It will be the third futures-linked bitcoin ETF since BITO made its debut last Tuesday.

Vaneck將成為下一家推出比特幣期貨ETF的基金提供商。這將是自上週二Bito首次亮相以來,第三隻與期貨掛鈎的比特幣ETF。

VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF is expected to start trading on Oct. 25 (though that could change) and will be listed on the Cboe Global Markets BZX Exchange under the ticker symbol "XBTF," according to a post-effective filing with the SEC. The expense ratio for the ETF is 0.65%, which means that an investor would pay annual fees of $6.50 for every $1,000 invested, which is lower than the expense ratio for the Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy, which kicked off on Friday, and ProShares, which both carry a 0.95% expense ratio.

據提交給美國證券交易委員會(SEC)的一份生效後的文件顯示,Vaneck比特幣策略ETF預計將於10月25日開始交易(不過這種情況可能會改變),並將在CBOE Global Markets BZX Exchange上市,股票代碼為XBTF。該ETF的費用比率為0.65%,這意味着投資者每投資1,000美元需支付6.50美元的年費,低於上週五啟動的Valkyrie比特幣策略和ProShares的費用比率,這兩個基金的費用比率均為0.95%。

Crypto leverage

加密槓桿

After bitcoin last time hit a record high in April, the crypto's price more than halved in about a month. The plunge was exacerbated by the amount of leverage in the market as "a ton of the new levered longs got liquidated," Sam Trabucco, CEO of quantitative crypto trading firm Alameda Research wrote on Twitter.

比特幣上一次在4月份創下歷史新高後,這種密碼的價格在大約一個月內下跌了一半以上。量化密碼交易公司Alameda Research的首席執行官薩姆·特拉布科(Sam Trabuco)在Twitter上寫道,隨着“大量新的槓桿多頭被清算”,市場上的槓桿量加劇了暴跌。

What about this time? Though Trabucco said that it's hard to predict which way bitcoin price will go, he wrote that "I do think liquidations are FINALLY starting to be less important."

那這次呢?儘管特拉布科表示,很難預測比特幣價格將走向何方,但他寫道,“我確實認為清算終於開始變得不那麼重要了。”

The aggregated open interest of bitcoin futures, which refer to the amount of futures contracts outstanding, is about 20% lower than in April, according to data analytics firm Skew. Futures are derivative contracts that allow investors to speculate on price moves in an underlying asset, oftentimes using leverage.

數據分析公司Skew的數據顯示,比特幣期貨的未平倉合約總額(指期貨合約的未平倉數量)比4月份下降了約20%。期貨是一種衍生品合約,允許投資者對標的資產的價格走勢進行投機,通常使用槓桿。

"That means the potential for a huge liquidation-driven drawdown is WAY lower," Trabucco wrote. "I think there is less (but still not zero) chance that a downside move is really outsized."

特拉布科寫道:“這意味着由清算驅動的大規模撤資的可能性要低得多。”“我認為下行走勢真的過大的可能性較小(但仍不是零).”

"And the same is true for an upside move, roughly," noted Trabucco.

特拉布科指出:“大體而言,上行走勢也是如此。”

The $29,000 Tungsten NFT?

29,000美元的鎢NFT?

Tungsten is associated with being the filament in incandescent lightbulbs, which might make it a rather anachronistic objet de désir in the digital community more familiar with LED, or light-emitting diode, lighting sources.

鎢被認為是白熾燈泡中的燈絲,這可能使它成為數字社區中相當不合時宜的裝飾對象,更熟悉LED(發光二極管)光源。

However, tungsten, also the second-hardest substance after diamonds and whose high-density, corrosion-resistant properties and tensile strength, when combined with other elements, make it ideal in building aeronautic components and military weapons, is the buzziest thing in the crypto world outside of virtual assets (and ETFs), right now.

然而,鎢也是僅次於鑽石的第二硬物質,其高密度、耐腐蝕性和抗拉強度,與其他元素結合在一起,使其成為製造航空零部件和軍事武器的理想材料,目前是虛擬資產(和ETF)以外的密碼世界中最時髦的東西。

The rabid interest in tungsten has made it a bit of a meme both in the real world and on social-media platforms like Twitter.

人們對鎢的狂熱興趣讓它在現實世界和推特(Twitter)等社交媒體平台上都成了一種迷因。

And like most other memes, its origins are difficult to trace, but interest in tungsten, particularly among the crypto Illuminati, has led to a 300% surge in tungsten cube sales for manufacturer Midwest Tungsten Service in a week, according to reports.

和大多數其他迷因一樣,它的起源很難追溯,但據報道,人們對鎢的興趣,特別是密碼光明會的興趣,導致製造商中西部鎢服務公司的鎢方銷量在一週內飆升了300%。

The appetite for tungsten apparently prompted Midwest Tungsten Service to auction a nonfungible token, or NFT, of the 14 inch, 1,784 lb tungsten cube, the largest that the manufacturer has ever produced. At last check, the top bid was well over $29,000, with a few days left on the auction. The winning bidder for the NFT will be entitled to have "one visit to see/photograph/touch the cube per calendar year," according to the description. The cube is stored in Willowbrook, Ill.

對鎢的胃口顯然促使中西部鎢服務公司拍賣了14英寸、1784磅的鎢立方體的不可替代代幣(NFT),這是該製造商有史以來生產的最大的一塊鎢立方體。在最後一次檢查中,最高出價遠遠超過29,000美元,離拍賣還有幾天時間。根據説明,NFT的中標者將有權“每個歷年參觀一次立方體/拍照/觸摸立方體”。這個立方體儲存在伊利諾伊州的威洛布魯克。

In mid-October, Yahoo! Finance wrote that tungsten cubes have sold out on Amazon.com and Google searches in the U.K. for tungsten have spiked 95%.

10月中旬,雅虎!財經寫道,鎢方塊在亞馬遜網站上已經銷售一空,英國的谷歌鎢搜索量飆升了95%。

Crypto companies, funds

密碼公司、基金

In the fund space, BITO (BITO) slipped 3.23% on Friday. The highly-anticipated ETF closed its first week at $39.5, down from its opening price on Tuesday at $41.9. Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy (BTF), the second bitcoin futures ETF in the U.S. that made its debut trading on Friday, closed its first day with a 2.8% loss at $24.3.

在基金領域,比特幣(Bito)週五下滑3.23%。這隻備受期待的ETF首周收盤價為39.5美元,低於週二開盤價41.9美元。Valkyrie比特幣策略(BTF)是美國第二隻比特幣期貨ETF,上週五首日掛牌交易,首日收跌2.8%,報24.3美元。

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) closed at $48.8, with a 0.5% daily loss and 2.8% weekly gain.

灰度比特幣信託(GBTC)收報48.8美元,日跌0.5%,周線上漲2.8%。

In crypto-related company news, shares of Coinbase (COIN) went up 0.3% to $300.8 on Friday, and rose 7.2% for the past week. Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR)slumped 2.3% to $718.5 on Friday. It was down 4.2% over the week.

在與密碼相關的公司新聞方面,Coinbase的股價週五上漲0.3%,至300.8美元,過去一週累計上漲7.2%。邁克爾·塞勒的微戰略公司(MicroStrategy Inc.)上週五暴跌2.3%,至718.5美元。該指數在一週內下跌了4.2%。

Mining company Riot Blockchain Inc. (RIOT) shares dropped 3.9% on Friday to $28.5. It was up 1.54% from a week ago. Shares of Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (MARA) closed at $49.5 on Friday, down 2.9% from Thursday's close but up 1.17% over the week. Another miner Ebang International Holdings Inc. (EBON) declined 3.8% to $2.05. It was up 4.1% over the week.

礦業公司Riot Block Chain Inc.股價週五下跌3.9%,至28.5美元。較一週前上漲1.54%。馬拉松數字控股公司(Mara)股價上週五收於49.5美元,較週四收盤下跌2.9%,但本週累計上漲1.17%。另一家礦商億邦國際(EBON)下跌3.8%,至2.05美元。該指數在一週內上漲了4.1%。

Overstock.com Inc. (OSTK) was mostly flat at $80.9 on Friday. It climbed 4.2% over the week. Square Inc. (SQ) fell 4.5% to $253, with a weekly gain of 1.6%, while Tesla Inc.'s (TSLA) shares rose 1.75% to $910, recording a weekly gain of 7.9%.

Overstock公司(OSTK)上週五基本持平於80.9美元。當週累計攀升4.2%。Square Inc.下跌4.5%,報253美元,周線上漲1.6%;特斯拉(Tesla Inc.)股價上漲1.75%,報910美元,周線錄得7.9%的漲幅。

PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) fell 1.2% to $240, logging a 10.4% weekly loss, while NVIDIA (NVDA) Corp. was up 0.2% to $227, contributing to a 4% weekly gain. Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) inched up 0.4% to $120 and notched a 6.9% weekly return.

PayPal下跌1.2%,至240美元,周跌幅為10.4%;英偉達(NVIDIA)上漲0.2%,至227美元,周漲幅為4%。美國超微公司股價小幅上漲0.4%,至每股120美元,週迴報率為6.9%。

Must reads

必讀內容

-Frances Yue

--弗朗西斯·餘(Frances Yue)

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論