三半期の要約財務情報 | ||||||||||||||
ムーディーズ社 (MCO)の売上高 | ムーディーズ・アナリティクス (MA)の売上高 | ムーディーズ・インベスターズ・サービス (MIS)の売上高 | ||||||||||||
3Q 2024 | 3Q 2024 | 3Q 2024 | ||||||||||||
18億ドル ⇑ 23% | $83100 million ⇑ 7% | $10 billion ⇑ 41% | ||||||||||||
2024年累計 | 2024年累計 | 2024年累計 | ||||||||||||
54億ドル ⇑ 22% | 29億ドル ⇑ 8% | 30億ドル ⇑ 37% | ||||||||||||
MCO希薄化後eps | MCO調整後希薄化後eps1 | MCO FY 2024プロジェクト予測2 | ||||||||||||
3Q 2024 | 3Q 2024 | 希薄化後eps | ||||||||||||
$2.93 ⇑ 39% | $3.21 ⇑ 32% | $10.85から$11.05 | ||||||||||||
2024年累計 | 2024年累計 | 調整後の希薄化後EPS1 | ||||||||||||
$9.09 ⇑ 32% | $9.85 ⇑ 28% | $11.90 から $12.10 | ||||||||||||
「ムーディーズの第3四半期の記録的な収益実績は、お客様に選ばれる代理店としての当社の揺るぎない地位と、将来の持続的な成長に向けて事業を推進するための私たちの行動の証です。それと並行して、分析事業における経常収益は堅調に成長しました。これは、当社のサービスを強化し、ますますダイナミックになるリスク環境の複雑さを乗り切るために必要な洞察をお客様に提供するための投資とイノベーションによるものです。」 | |||||
ロブ・フォーバー 社長兼最高経営責任者 | |||||
「今四半期はムーディーズにとって素晴らしい四半期で、収益は23%増加しました。MISの取引収益は70%増加し、発行額の 51% の増加を上回り、営業キャッシュフローは 29% 増加しました。この目覚ましい業績の結果として、調整後希薄化後EPSを引き上げています1 ガイダンスを行い、範囲を11.90ドルから12.10ドルに絞り込みます2.” | |||||
ノエミ・ヒューランド 最高財務責任者 |
1 このプレスリリースの末尾の表を参照して、調整後の数値を米国の会計基準(U.S. GAAP)に照らして調整した数値に変換する。 2 2024年10月22日時点のガイダンス。会社がガイダンスを提供するすべての項目の表についてはTable 12 - “2024 Outlook”を参照し、ページ 10 会社のガイダンスに関して使用される前提条件に関する開示については、ページ |
フォーマット |
ムーディーズ・コーポレーション(MCO) |
2024年第3四半期 | 2024年の累計 | |||||||
•売上高は前年同期比23%増加しました。 •外貨換算はMCOの売上高には無視できる影響を与えました。 | •売上高は前年同期比22%増加しました。 •外貨換算はMCOの売上高には無視できる影響を与えました。 |
ムーディーズ・アナリティクス(MA) |
2024年第3四半期 | 2024年度の累積売上高 | |||||||
•売上高は前年同期比7%成長しました。 •総MA売上高のうち95%を占める継続的な売上高は9%成長しました。銀行業界で最も顕著な取引売上高は21%減少しました。 •決定ソリューションの売上高は前年同期比8%成長しました。継続的な売上高の成長率13%は、Know Your Customer(KYC)が19%増加したことにより牽引されました。銀行業界と保険業界はそれぞれ10%および11%の継続的な売上高成長を達成しました。 •外貨換算により、MAの売上高には1%の利益がありました。 | •売上高は前年同期比8%成長しました。 •継続的な売上高は9%成長し、取引売上高は15%減少しました。 •ARR3 31億ドルの売上高は、2023年9月30日時点の29億ドルから、3億ドル増加し、9%増加しました。 •決定ソリューションARR3 KYCが14%、保険が13%、銀行が10%を含む12%成長しました。リサーチ&インサイトとデータ&インフォメーションは、それぞれ6%、8%成長しました。 •外貨換算により、MAの売上高が1%有利に影響を受けました。 |
3 このプレスリリースの最後の表10を参照して、年間繰り返し売上高(ARR)メトリックの定義および詳細情報を確認してください。 |
ムーディーズ・インベスターズ・サービス(MIS) |
2024年第3四半期 | 2024年の累計 | |||||||
•前年同期比で売上高が41%増加し、MISが過去最高の三半期を記録し、全セクターで4番目に大きな四半期です。階 前年同期比で売上高が41%増加し、MISが過去最高の三半期を記録し、全セクターで4番目に大きな四半期です。 •取引売上高は前年同期比で70%増加し、全ビジネスラインで頻度の低い発行者から活発な活動を反映しています。 •Corporate Financeの中で、インベストメントグレードの発行は、複数セクターで大型取引を支えることで大幅に増加しました。 •頻発の発行からの活発な出来高は、ファイナンシャルインスティテューションズ内での成長を牽引し、10年以上ぶりに最も強い第3四半期となりました。 •構造化ファイナンスの売上高成長は、有利なスプレッド環境を考慮して、米国のCLOやCMBSにおけるリファイナンス活動の増加によって主に牽引されました。 •外国通貨の翻訳は、MIS売上高にほとんど影響を与えませんでした。 | •売上高は前年比で37%増加し、有利な市況が主にコーポレートファイナンスセクターで投資家の信頼を高めるのを後押ししました。 •市況は全体的に好調で、年間を通じて金利引き下げや年末の潜在的な変動に備えて、緊密なスプレッドと強力な投資家需要が続きました。 •売上高成長は、レバレッジドファイナンス発行者によって著しく牽引され、リファイナンスとM&A活動の活性化が高まりました。 •ファイナンシャルインスティテューションズは、頻出する銀行や保険発行者からの強力な機会主義的な活動に恩恵を受けました。 •外国通貨の翻訳は、MISの売上高にほとんど影響を与えませんでした。 |
営業費用と利益率 |
営業費用MCO |
2024年第3四半期 | 2024年の累計 | |||||||
•営業費用は前年同期比15%増加しました。そのうち7%はMISの強力な財務業績に主に起因する高いインセンティブと株式報酬から、7%は運営コストと戦略的投資からのものです。 •為替の翻訳は営業費用に対して無視できる影響を与えました。 | •営業費用は前年同期比11%増加しました。そのうち5%は運営成長から(先に開示された規制問題に関連する費用を含む)で、4%は高いインセンティブ報酬の負債と株式報酬からです。 •為替の翻訳は営業費用に対して無視できる影響を与えました。 |
4 「セグメント別財務情報(未確認)」の表5を参照して、「資産廃棄に関する費用」カテゴリーに関する詳細情報をご覧ください。 |
営業利益率と調整後の営業利益率1 |
2024年第3四半期 | 2024年の累計 | |||||||
•MCOの営業利益率は40.7%でした。MCOの調整後の営業利益率1 は前年同期比で320ベーシスポイント増の47.8%でした。 •MAの調整後の営業利益率は30.3%で、将来の成長を支援する投資とコストコントロールの取り組みによるバランスが反映されています。 •MISの調整後の営業利益率は640ベーシスポイント拡大し、事業内にある固有の運営レバレッジを示しています。 •外国通貨の翻訳は、営業利益率と調整後の営業利益率の両方にほぼ影響がありませんでした1. | •MCOの営業利益率は42.7%でした。MCOの調整後の営業利益率1 前年同期比で510ベーシスポイント上昇し、49.4%となりました。 •MAの調整後の営業利益率は、戦略的投資と経費に対する慎重なアプローチの持続的なバランスを反映しています。 •前年同期比で720ベーシスポイント増加したMISの調整後の営業利益率は、堅調な売上高の一部を補うための効率向上投資によるものです。 •外貨換算は、営業利益率と調整後の営業利益率の両方に無視できる影響を及ぼしました。1. |
1株当たりの利益(EPS) |
希薄化後epsと調整後の希薄化後eps1 |
Third Quarter 2024 | Year-to-Date 2024 | |||||||
•Diluted EPS and Adjusted Diluted EPS1 grew 39% and 32% respectively, from the prior-year period, mainly reflecting an increase in operating income. •The ETR grew to 24.0% from 19.9% in the prior-year period, reflecting adjustments resulting from the finalization of income tax returns coupled with increased earnings from non-U.S. operations subject to higher income tax rates. | •The increase in both Diluted EPS and Adjusted Diluted EPS1 is associated with an increase in net income supported by strong revenue growth in both MIS and MA. •The ETR was 23.5%, higher than the 14.6% reported in the prior-year period, primarily due to the favorable resolutions of uncertain tax positions within U.S. domestic and foreign tax jurisdictions in 2023. |
CAPITAL ALLOCATION AND LIQUIDITY |
Capital Returned to Shareholders & Free Cash Flow1 |
•Cash flow from operations for the first nine months was $2,164 million and free cash flow1 was $1,921 million. •The increase in both operating cash flow and free cash flow1 was driven by an increase in net income, mainly attributed to strong growth across both segments. •On October 21, 2024, the Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.85 per share of MCO Common Stock. The dividend will be payable on December 13, 2024, to stockholders of record at the close of business on November 22, 2024. •During the third quarter of 2024, Moody’s repurchased 0.9 million shares at an average cost of $464.77 per share and issued net 0.1 million shares as part of its employee stock-based compensation programs. The net amount included shares withheld for employee payroll taxes. •As of September 30, 2024, Moody’s had 181.2 million shares outstanding, with approximately $547 million of share repurchase authority remaining. On October 15, 2024, the Board of Directors authorized an additional $1.5 billion in share repurchase authority. There is no established expiration date for the remaining authorizations. •As of September 30, 2024, Moody's had $7.6 billion of outstanding debt and an undrawn $1.25 billion revolving credit facility. |
ASSUMPTIONS AND OUTLOOK |
Forecasted Item | Last Publicly Disclosed Assumption | Current Assumption | ||||||
U.S. GDP (1) growth | 1.5% - 2.5% | NC | ||||||
Euro area GDP (1) growth | 0.5% - 1.5% | NC | ||||||
Global GDP (1) growth | 2.0% - 3.0% | NC | ||||||
Global policy rates | To remain elevated, with some gradual rate reductions in the second half of 2024 | To gradually decline through 2024 and 2025 | ||||||
U.S. high yield spreads | To fluctuate around 350 - 450 bps, with periodic volatility | To fluctuate around 360 - 460 bps, with periodic volatility over the next 12 months | ||||||
U.S. inflation rate | To decline towards 2.0% by mid-2025 | To continue to decline and remain around the Federal Reserve’s target of 2.0% through 2025 | ||||||
Euro area inflation rate | Large economies to decline towards 2.0% by mid-2025 | To remain around 2.0% through 2024 and 2025 | ||||||
U.S. unemployment rate | To fluctuate around 4.0% during the year | To average around 4.2% - 4.5% over the next 12 months | ||||||
Global high yield default rate | To be in the range of 3.5% - 4.0% by year-end | To decline to around 4.2% by year-end 2024 | ||||||
Global MIS 2024 rated issuance | Increase in the range of 20% to 25% | Increase in the mid-30s percent range | ||||||
GBP/USD exchange rate | $1.26 for the remainder of the year | $1.34 for the remainder of the year | ||||||
EUR/USD exchange rate | $1.07 for the remainder of the year | $1.12 for the remainder of the year | ||||||
NC - There is no difference between the Company’s current assumption and the last publicly disclosed assumption for this item. Note: All current assumptions are as of October 22, 2024. All last publicly disclosed assumptions are as of July 23, 2024. (1) GDP growth represents real GDP. |
TELECONFERENCE DETAILS |
Date and Time | October 22, 2024, at 11:30 a.m. Eastern Time (ET). | |||||||
Webcast | The webcast and its replay can be accessed through Moody’s Investor Relations website, ir.moodys.com, within “Events & Presentations.” | |||||||
Dial In | U.S. and Canada | ‘+1-888-596-4144 | ||||||
Other callers | ‘+1-646-968-2525 | |||||||
Passcode | 515 6491 | |||||||
Dial In Replay | A replay will be available immediately after the call on October 22, 2024 and until November 21, 2024. | |||||||
U.S. and Canada | ‘+1-800-770-2030 | |||||||
Other callers | ‘+1-609-800-9909 | |||||||
Passcode | 515 6491 |
ABOUT MOODY’S CORPORATION |
“SAFE HARBOR” STATEMENT UNDER THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 |
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amounts in millions, except per share amounts | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||
Revenue | $ | 1,813 | $ | 1,472 | $ | 5,416 | $ | 4,436 | |||||||||||||||
Expenses: | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating | 512 | 412 | 1,448 | 1,266 | |||||||||||||||||||
Selling, general and administrative | 434 | 403 | 1,293 | 1,204 | |||||||||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 108 | 95 | 318 | 276 | |||||||||||||||||||
Restructuring | 6 | 27 | 13 | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||
Charges related to asset abandonment | 15 | — | 30 | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Total expenses | 1,075 | 937 | 3,102 | 2,797 | |||||||||||||||||||
Operating income | 738 | 535 | 2,314 | 1,639 | |||||||||||||||||||
Non-operating (expense) income, net | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense, net | (60) | (66) | (185) | (185) | |||||||||||||||||||
Other non-operating income, net | 25 | 18 | 45 | 31 | |||||||||||||||||||
Total non-operating (expense) income, net | (35) | (48) | (140) | (154) | |||||||||||||||||||
Income before provision for income taxes | 703 | 487 | 2,174 | 1,485 | |||||||||||||||||||
Provision for income taxes | 169 | 97 | 510 | 217 | |||||||||||||||||||
Net income | 534 | 390 | 1,664 | 1,268 | |||||||||||||||||||
Less: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
Net income attributable to Moody's | $ | 534 | $ | 389 | $ | 1,663 | $ | 1,267 | |||||||||||||||
Earnings per share attributable to Moody's common shareholders | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | $ | 2.94 | $ | 2.12 | $ | 9.13 | $ | 6.91 | |||||||||||||||
Diluted | $ | 2.93 | $ | 2.11 | $ | 9.09 | $ | 6.88 | |||||||||||||||
Weighted average number of shares outstanding | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Basic | 181.7 | 183.3 | 182.2 | 183.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
Diluted | 182.5 | 184.0 | 183.0 | 184.1 |
Amounts in millions | September 30, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | |||||||||
ASSETS | |||||||||||
Current assets: | |||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 2,642 | $ | 2,130 | |||||||
Short-term investments | 573 | 63 | |||||||||
Accounts receivable, net of allowance for credit losses of $35 in 2024 and $35 in 2023 | 1,708 | 1,659 | |||||||||
Other current assets | 470 | 489 | |||||||||
Total current assets | 5,393 | 4,341 | |||||||||
Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation of $1,442 in 2024 and $1,272 in 2023 | 662 | 603 | |||||||||
Operating lease right-of-use assets | 242 | 277 | |||||||||
Goodwill | 6,148 | 5,956 | |||||||||
Intangible assets, net | 1,970 | 2,049 | |||||||||
Deferred tax assets, net | 268 | 258 | |||||||||
Other assets | 1,086 | 1,138 | |||||||||
Total assets | $ | 15,769 | $ | 14,622 | |||||||
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY | |||||||||||
Current liabilities: | |||||||||||
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities | $ | 1,133 | $ | 1,076 | |||||||
Current portion of operating lease liabilities | 109 | 108 | |||||||||
Current portion of long-term debt | 693 | — | |||||||||
Deferred revenue | 1,300 | 1,316 | |||||||||
Total current liabilities | 3,235 | 2,500 | |||||||||
Non-current portion of deferred revenue | 59 | 65 | |||||||||
Long-term debt | 6,876 | 7,001 | |||||||||
Deferred tax liabilities, net | 416 | 402 | |||||||||
Uncertain tax positions | 209 | 196 | |||||||||
Operating lease liabilities | 245 | 306 | |||||||||
Other liabilities | 661 | 676 | |||||||||
Total liabilities | 11,701 | 11,146 | |||||||||
Total Moody's shareholders' equity | 3,905 | 3,318 | |||||||||
Noncontrolling interests | 163 | 158 | |||||||||
Total shareholders' equity | 4,068 | 3,476 | |||||||||
Total liabilities, noncontrolling interests and shareholders' equity | $ | 15,769 | $ | 14,622 |
Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||
Amounts in millions | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||
Cash flows from operating activities | |||||||||||
Net income | $ | 1,664 | $ | 1,268 | |||||||
Reconciliation of net income to net cash provided by operating activities: | |||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 318 | 276 | |||||||||
Stock-based compensation | 166 | 143 | |||||||||
Deferred income taxes | 9 | (10) | |||||||||
Asset impairment and abandonment-related charges | 15 | 12 | |||||||||
Provision for credit losses on accounts receivable | 14 | 15 | |||||||||
Gain on previously held equity method investments | (7) | — | |||||||||
Net changes in other operating assets and liabilities | (15) | (30) | |||||||||
Net cash provided by operating activities | 2,164 | 1,674 | |||||||||
Cash flows from investing activities | |||||||||||
Capital additions | (243) | (198) | |||||||||
Purchases of investments | (623) | (105) | |||||||||
Sales and maturities of investments | 105 | 115 | |||||||||
Purchases of investments in non-consolidated affiliates | (4) | (3) | |||||||||
Sales of investments in non-consolidated affiliates | — | 1 | |||||||||
Cash paid for acquisitions, net of cash acquired | (110) | (3) | |||||||||
Net cash used in investing activities | (875) | (193) | |||||||||
Cash flows from financing activities | |||||||||||
Repayment of notes | — | (500) | |||||||||
Issuance of notes | 496 | — | |||||||||
Proceeds from stock-based compensation plans | 60 | 40 | |||||||||
Treasury shares | (812) | (278) | |||||||||
Repurchase of shares related to stock-based compensation | (85) | (67) | |||||||||
Dividends | (465) | (424) | |||||||||
Dividends to noncontrolling interests | (1) | (2) | |||||||||
Debt issuance costs and related fees | (5) | — | |||||||||
Net cash used in financing activities | (812) | (1,231) | |||||||||
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | 35 | (13) | |||||||||
Increase in cash and cash equivalents | 512 | 237 | |||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period | 2,130 | 1,769 | |||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period | $ | 2,642 | $ | 2,006 | |||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amounts in millions | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||
Interest: | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Income | $ | 28 | $ | 19 | $ | 73 | $ | 44 | |||||||||||||||
Expense on borrowings | (79) | (75) | (227) | (220) | |||||||||||||||||||
(Expense) income on UTPs and other tax related liabilities(1) | (3) | (4) | (12) | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||
Net periodic pension costs - interest component | (6) | (6) | (19) | (19) | |||||||||||||||||||
Total interest expense, net | $ | (60) | $ | (66) | $ | (185) | $ | (185) | |||||||||||||||
Other non-operating income, net: | |||||||||||||||||||||||
FX (loss) gain | $ | — | $ | 2 | $ | (7) | $ | (29) | |||||||||||||||
Net periodic pension income - non-service and non-interest cost components | 9 | 8 | 25 | 26 | |||||||||||||||||||
Income from investments in non-consolidated affiliates | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||
Gain on previously held equity method investments(2) | 7 | — | 7 | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Gain on investments | 4 | — | 12 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||||
Other(3) | (3) | (1) | (2) | 11 | |||||||||||||||||||
Other non-operating income, net | $ | 25 | $ | 18 | $ | 45 | $ | 31 | |||||||||||||||
Total non-operating (expense) income, net | $ | (35) | $ | (48) | $ | (140) | $ | (154) |
(1) The amount for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 includes a $22 million reduction of tax-related interest expense primarily related to the resolutions of tax matters. | ||
(2) The amounts for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 reflect non-cash gains relating to the step-acquisitions of Praedicat and GCR. | ||
(3) The amount for the nine months ended September 30, 2023 includes a benefit of $9 million related to the favorable resolutions of various tax matters. | ||
Three Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amounts in millions | MA | MIS | Eliminations | Consolidated | MA | MIS | Eliminations | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total external revenue | $ | 831 | $ | 982 | $ | — | $ | 1,813 | $ | 776 | $ | 696 | $ | — | $ | 1,472 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Intersegment revenue | 3 | 48 | (51) | — | 3 | 47 | (50) | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenue | 834 | 1,030 | (51) | 1,813 | 779 | 743 | (50) | 1,472 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating, SG&A | 581 | 416 | (51) | 946 | 517 | 348 | (50) | 815 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted Operating Income | $ | 253 | $ | 614 | $ | — | $ | 867 | $ | 262 | $ | 395 | $ | — | $ | 657 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted Operating Margin | 30.3 | % | 59.6 | % | 47.8 | % | 33.6 | % | 53.2 | % | 44.6 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 88 | 20 | — | 108 | 76 | 19 | — | 95 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Restructuring | 4 | 2 | — | 6 | 22 | 5 | — | 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Charges related to asset abandonment (1) | 15 | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating income | $ | 738 | $ | 535 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating margin | 40.7 | % | 36.3 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amounts in millions | MA | MIS | Eliminations | Consolidated | MA | MIS | Eliminations | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total external revenue | $ | 2,432 | $ | 2,984 | $ | — | $ | 5,416 | $ | 2,260 | $ | 2,176 | $ | — | $ | 4,436 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Intersegment revenue | 10 | 144 | (154) | — | 10 | 138 | (148) | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total revenue | 2,442 | 3,128 | (154) | 5,416 | 2,270 | 2,314 | (148) | 4,436 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating, SG&A | 1,721 | 1,174 | (154) | 2,741 | 1,584 | 1,034 | (148) | 2,470 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted Operating Income | $ | 721 | $ | 1,954 | $ | — | $ | 2,675 | $ | 686 | $ | 1,280 | $ | — | $ | 1,966 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted Operating Margin | 29.5 | % | 62.5 | % | 49.4 | % | 30.2 | % | 55.3 | % | 44.3 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 260 | 58 | — | 318 | 220 | 56 | — | 276 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Restructuring | 7 | 6 | — | 13 | 38 | 13 | — | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Charges related to asset abandonment (1) | 30 | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating income | $ | 2,314 | $ | 1,639 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating margin | 42.7 | % | 36.9 | % |
(1) During the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the Company recorded charges related to asset abandonment of $30 million. Costs of $15 million were recorded in the second quarter of 2024 related to severance incurred pursuant to a reduction in staff due to the Company's decision to outsource the production of certain sustainability content utilized in our product offerings. Additionally, the Company has reduced the estimated useful lives of certain internally developed software and amortizable intangible assets that are associated with the sustainability content offerings for which production is being outsourced. During the third quarter of 2024, the Company incurred $15 million in incremental amortization expense related to the change in estimated useful lives of these assets and expects to incur an additional $15 million of incremental amortization expense in the fourth quarter of 2024. |
Three Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amounts in millions | Transaction | Recurring | Total | Transaction | Recurring | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Decision Solutions | $ | 33 | $ | 350 | $ | 383 | $ | 43 | $ | 311 | $ | 354 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
9 | % | 91 | % | 100 | % | 12 | % | 88 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Research & Insights | $ | 4 | $ | 231 | $ | 235 | $ | 4 | $ | 218 | $ | 222 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | % | 98 | % | 100 | % | 2 | % | 98 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Data & Information | $ | 1 | $ | 212 | $ | 213 | $ | 1 | $ | 199 | $ | 200 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
— | % | 100 | % | 100 | % | 1 | % | 99 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total MA | $ | 38 | $ | 793 | $ | 831 | $ | 48 | $ | 728 | $ | 776 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | % | 95 | % | 100 | % | 6 | % | 94 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate Finance | $ | 382 | $ | 133 | $ | 515 | $ | 216 | $ | 130 | $ | 346 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
74 | % | 26 | % | 100 | % | 62 | % | 38 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Structured Finance | $ | 78 | $ | 57 | $ | 135 | $ | 49 | $ | 53 | $ | 102 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
58 | % | 42 | % | 100 | % | 48 | % | 52 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Financial Institutions | $ | 92 | $ | 78 | $ | 170 | $ | 52 | $ | 74 | $ | 126 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
54 | % | 46 | % | 100 | % | 41 | % | 59 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public, Project and Infrastructure Finance | $ | 109 | $ | 45 | $ | 154 | $ | 70 | $ | 45 | $ | 115 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
71 | % | 29 | % | 100 | % | 61 | % | 39 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
MIS Other | $ | 2 | $ | 6 | $ | 8 | $ | 2 | $ | 5 | $ | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
25 | % | 75 | % | 100 | % | 29 | % | 71 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total MIS | $ | 663 | $ | 319 | $ | 982 | $ | 389 | $ | 307 | $ | 696 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
68 | % | 32 | % | 100 | % | 56 | % | 44 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Moody's Corporation | $ | 701 | $ | 1,112 | $ | 1,813 | $ | 437 | $ | 1,035 | $ | 1,472 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
39 | % | 61 | % | 100 | % | 30 | % | 70 | % | 100 | % |
Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amounts in millions | Transaction | Recurring | Total | Transaction | Recurring | Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Decision Solutions | $ | 105 | $ | 1,009 | $ | 1,114 | $ | 126 | $ | 896 | $ | 1,022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
9 | % | 91 | % | 100 | % | 12 | % | 88 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Research & Insights | $ | 11 | $ | 672 | $ | 683 | $ | 12 | $ | 642 | $ | 654 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | % | 98 | % | 100 | % | 2 | % | 98 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Data & Information | $ | 3 | $ | 632 | $ | 635 | $ | 2 | $ | 582 | $ | 584 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
— | % | 100 | % | 100 | % | — | % | 100 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total MA | $ | 119 | $ | 2,313 | $ | 2,432 | $ | 140 | $ | 2,120 | $ | 2,260 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | % | 95 | % | 100 | % | 6 | % | 94 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate Finance | $ | 1,169 | $ | 400 | $ | 1,569 | $ | 682 | $ | 385 | $ | 1,067 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
75 | % | 25 | % | 100 | % | 64 | % | 36 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Structured Finance | $ | 213 | $ | 167 | $ | 380 | $ | 142 | $ | 161 | $ | 303 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
56 | % | 44 | % | 100 | % | 47 | % | 53 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Financial Institutions | $ | 329 | $ | 231 | $ | 560 | $ | 195 | $ | 218 | $ | 413 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
59 | % | 41 | % | 100 | % | 47 | % | 53 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public, Project and Infrastructure Finance | $ | 315 | $ | 134 | $ | 449 | $ | 240 | $ | 131 | $ | 371 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
70 | % | 30 | % | 100 | % | 65 | % | 35 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
MIS Other | $ | 6 | $ | 20 | $ | 26 | $ | 4 | $ | 18 | $ | 22 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
23 | % | 77 | % | 100 | % | 18 | % | 82 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total MIS | $ | 2,032 | $ | 952 | $ | 2,984 | $ | 1,263 | $ | 913 | $ | 2,176 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
68 | % | 32 | % | 100 | % | 58 | % | 42 | % | 100 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Moody's Corporation | $ | 2,151 | $ | 3,265 | $ | 5,416 | $ | 1,403 | $ | 3,033 | $ | 4,436 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
40 | % | 60 | % | 100 | % | 32 | % | 68 | % | 100 | % |
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Amounts in millions | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||
Operating income | $ | 738 | $ | 535 | $ | 2,314 | $ | 1,639 | |||||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 108 | 95 | 318 | 276 | |||||||||||||||||||
Restructuring | 6 | 27 | 13 | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||
Charges related to asset abandonment | 15 | — | 30 | — | |||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted Operating Income | $ | 867 | $ | 657 | $ | 2,675 | $ | 1,966 | |||||||||||||||
Operating margin | 40.7 | % | 36.3 | % | 42.7 | % | 36.9 | % | |||||||||||||||
Adjusted Operating Margin | 47.8 | % | 44.6 | % | 49.4 | % | 44.3 | % |
Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||
Amounts in millions | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||
Net cash provided by operating activities | $ | 2,164 | $ | 1,674 | |||||||
Capital additions | (243) | (198) | |||||||||
Free Cash Flow | $ | 1,921 | $ | 1,476 | |||||||
Net cash used in investing activities | $ | (875) | $ | (193) | |||||||
Net cash used in financing activities | $ | (812) | $ | (1,231) |
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amounts in millions | 2024 | 2023 | Change | Growth | 2024 | 2023 | Change | Growth | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MCO revenue | $ | 1,813 | $ | 1,472 | $ | 341 | 23% | $ | 5,416 | $ | 4,436 | $ | 980 | 22% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FX impact | (8) | — | (8) | (5) | — | (5) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constant currency MCO revenue | $ | 1,805 | $ | 1,472 | $ | 333 | 23% | $ | 5,411 | $ | 4,436 | $ | 975 | 22% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MA revenue | $ | 831 | $ | 776 | $ | 55 | 7% | $ | 2,432 | $ | 2,260 | $ | 172 | 8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FX impact | (5) | — | (5) | (6) | — | (6) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constant currency MA revenue | $ | 826 | $ | 776 | $ | 50 | 6% | $ | 2,426 | $ | 2,260 | $ | 166 | 7% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Decision Solutions revenue | $ | 383 | $ | 354 | $ | 29 | 8% | $ | 1,114 | $ | 1,022 | $ | 92 | 9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FX impact | (1) | — | (1) | (2) | — | (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constant currency Decision Solutions revenue | $ | 382 | $ | 354 | $ | 28 | 8% | $ | 1,112 | $ | 1,022 | $ | 90 | 9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Research and Insights revenue | $ | 235 | $ | 222 | $ | 13 | 6% | $ | 683 | $ | 654 | $ | 29 | 4% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FX impact | (2) | — | (2) | (2) | — | (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constant currency Research and Insights revenue | $ | 233 | $ | 222 | $ | 11 | 5% | $ | 681 | $ | 654 | $ | 27 | 4% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Data and Information revenue | $ | 213 | $ | 200 | $ | 13 | 7% | $ | 635 | $ | 584 | $ | 51 | 9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FX impact | (2) | — | (2) | (2) | — | (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constant currency Data and Information revenue | $ | 211 | $ | 200 | $ | 11 | 6% | $ | 633 | $ | 584 | $ | 49 | 8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MIS revenue | $ | 982 | $ | 696 | $ | 286 | 41% | $ | 2,984 | $ | 2,176 | $ | 808 | 37% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FX impact | (3) | — | (3) | 1 | — | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constant currency MIS revenue | $ | 979 | $ | 696 | $ | 283 | 41% | $ | 2,985 | $ | 2,176 | $ | 809 | 37% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CFG revenue | $ | 515 | $ | 346 | $ | 169 | 49% | $ | 1,569 | $ | 1,067 | $ | 502 | 47% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FX impact | (2) | — | (2) | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constant currency CFG revenue | $ | 513 | $ | 346 | $ | 167 | 48% | $ | 1,569 | $ | 1,067 | $ | 502 | 47% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SFG revenue | $ | 135 | $ | 102 | $ | 33 | 32% | $ | 380 | $ | 303 | $ | 77 | 25% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FX impact | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constant currency SFG revenue | $ | 135 | $ | 102 | $ | 33 | 32% | $ | 381 | $ | 303 | $ | 78 | 26% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIG revenue | $ | 170 | $ | 126 | $ | 44 | 35% | $ | 560 | $ | 413 | $ | 147 | 36% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FX impact | (1) | — | (1) | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constant currency FIG revenue | $ | 169 | $ | 126 | $ | 43 | 34% | $ | 560 | $ | 413 | $ | 147 | 36% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PPIF revenue | $ | 154 | $ | 115 | $ | 39 | 34% | $ | 449 | $ | 371 | $ | 78 | 21% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FX impact | (1) | — | (1) | (1) | — | (1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constant currency PPIF revenue | $ | 153 | $ | 115 | $ | 38 | 33% | $ | 448 | $ | 371 | $ | 77 | 21% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MA recurring revenue | $ | 793 | $ | 728 | $ | 65 | 9% | $ | 2,313 | $ | 2,120 | $ | 193 | 9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FX impact | (5) | — | (5) | (6) | — | (6) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constant currency MA recurring revenue | $ | 788 | $ | 728 | $ | 60 | 8% | $ | 2,307 | $ | 2,120 | $ | 187 | 9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amounts in millions | September 30, 2024 | September 30, 2023 | Change | Growth | |||||||||||||||||||
MA ARR | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Decision Solutions | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Banking | $ | 439 | $ | 400 | $ | 39 | 10% | ||||||||||||||||
Insurance | 579 | 514 | 65 | 13% | |||||||||||||||||||
KYC | 360 | 316 | 44 | 14% | |||||||||||||||||||
Total Decision Solutions | $ | 1,378 | $ | 1,230 | $ | 148 | 12% | ||||||||||||||||
Research and Insights | 910 | 860 | 50 | 6% | |||||||||||||||||||
Data and Information | 859 | 796 | 63 | 8% | |||||||||||||||||||
Total MA ARR | $ | 3,147 | $ | 2,886 | $ | 261 | 9% | ||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Amounts in millions | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Income attributable to Moody's common shareholders | $ | 534 | $ | 389 | $ | 1,663 | $ | 1,267 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-tax Acquisition-Related Intangible Amortization Expenses | $ | 51 | $ | 49 | $ | 148 | $ | 150 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax on Acquisition-Related Intangible Amortization Expenses | (12) | (12) | (36) | (36) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Acquisition-Related Intangible Amortization Expenses | 39 | 37 | 112 | 114 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-tax restructuring | $ | 6 | $ | 27 | $ | 13 | $ | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax on restructuring | (1) | (6) | (3) | (12) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net restructuring | 5 | 21 | 10 | 39 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-tax charges related to asset abandonment | $ | 15 | $ | — | $ | 30 | $ | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax on charges related to asset abandonment | (3) | — | (7) | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net charges related to asset abandonment | 12 | — | 23 | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-tax gain on previously held equity method investments | $ | (7) | $ | — | $ | (7) | $ | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax on gain on previously held equity method investments | 2 | — | 2 | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gain on previously held equity method investments | (5) | — | (5) | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted Net Income | $ | 585 | $ | 447 | $ | 1,803 | $ | 1,420 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended September 30, | Nine Months Ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Diluted earnings per share attributable to Moody's common shareholders | $ | 2.93 | $ | 2.11 | $ | 9.09 | $ | 6.88 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-tax Acquisition-Related Intangible Amortization Expenses | $ | 0.28 | $ | 0.27 | $ | 0.81 | $ | 0.81 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax on Acquisition-Related Intangible Amortization Expenses | (0.07) | (0.06) | (0.20) | (0.19) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Acquisition-Related Intangible Amortization Expenses | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.61 | 0.62 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-tax restructuring | $ | 0.03 | $ | 0.15 | $ | 0.07 | $ | 0.28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax on restructuring | — | (0.04) | (0.02) | (0.07) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net restructuring | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 0.21 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-tax charges related to asset abandonment | $ | 0.08 | $ | — | $ | 0.16 | $ | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax on charges related to asset abandonment | (0.01) | — | (0.03) | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net charges related to asset abandonment | 0.07 | — | 0.13 | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pre-tax gain on previously held equity method investments | $ | (0.04) | $ | — | $ | (0.04) | $ | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax on gain on previously held equity method investments | 0.01 | — | 0.01 | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net gain on previously held equity method investments | (0.03) | — | (0.03) | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted Diluted EPS | $ | 3.21 | $ | 2.43 | $ | 9.85 | $ | 7.71 |
Note: The tax impacts in the tables above were calculated using tax rates in effect in the jurisdiction for which the item relates. |
Full Year 2024 Moody's Corporation Guidance as of October 22, 2024 | ||||||||
Moody's Corporation (MCO) | Last Publicly Disclosed Guidance | Current Guidance | ||||||
Revenue | Increase in the low-teens percent range | Increase in the high-teens percent range | ||||||
Operating Expenses | Increase in the high-single-digit percent range | Approximately 10% | ||||||
Operating Margin | Approximately 39% | 40% to 41% | ||||||
Adjusted Operating Margin (1) | 46% to 47% | 47% to 48% | ||||||
Interest Expense, Net | $240 - $260 million | Approximately $245 million | ||||||
Effective Tax Rate | 22% to 24% | 23% to 24% | ||||||
Diluted EPS | $9.95 to $10.35 | $10.85 to $11.05 | ||||||
Adjusted Diluted EPS (1) | $11.00 to $11.40 | $11.90 to $12.10 | ||||||
Operating Cash Flow | $2.4 to $2.6 billion | Approximately $2.7 billion | ||||||
Free Cash Flow (1) | $2.0 to $2.2 billion | Approximately $2.3 billion | ||||||
Share Repurchases | Approximately $1.3 billion (subject to available cash, market conditions, M&A opportunities, and other ongoing capital allocation decisions) | NC | ||||||
Moody's Analytics (MA) | Last Publicly Disclosed Guidance | Current Guidance | ||||||
MA Revenue | Increase in the high-single-digit percent range | NC | ||||||
ARR (2) | Increase in the high-single-digit to low-double-digit percent range | NC | ||||||
MA Adjusted Operating Margin | 30% to 31% | NC | ||||||
Moody's Investors Service (MIS) | Last Publicly Disclosed Guidance | Current Guidance | ||||||
MIS Revenue | Increase in the high-teens percent range | Increase in the high-twenties percent range | ||||||
MIS Adjusted Operating Margin | 58% to 59% | 59% to 60% | ||||||
NC - There is no difference between the Company’s current guidance and the last publicly disclosed guidance for this item. Note: All current guidance as of October 22, 2024. All last publicly disclosed guidance is as of July 23, 2024. (1) These metrics are adjusted measures. See below for reconciliation of these measures to their comparable U.S. GAAP measure. (2) Refer to Table 10 within this earnings release for the definition of and further information on the ARR metric. |
Projected for the Year Ended December 31, 2024 | |||||
Operating margin guidance | 40% to 41% | ||||
Depreciation and amortization | Approximately 6.1% | ||||
Restructuring | Approximately 0.2% | ||||
Charges Related to Asset Abandonment | Approximately 0.7% | ||||
Adjusted Operating Margin guidance | 47% to 48% | ||||
Projected for the Year Ended December 31, 2024 | |||||
Operating cash flow guidance | Approximately $2.7 billion | ||||
Less: Capital expenditures | Approximately $350 million | ||||
Free Cash Flow guidance | Approximately $2.3 billion | ||||
Projected for the Year Ended December 31, 2024 | |||||
Diluted EPS guidance | $10.85 to $11.05 | ||||
Acquisition-Related Intangible Amortization | Approximately $0.83 | ||||
Restructuring | Approximately $0.05 | ||||
Charges Related to Asset Abandonment | Approximately $0.20 | ||||
Gain on Previously Held Equity Method Investments | ($0.03) | ||||
Adjusted Diluted EPS guidance | $11.90 to $12.10 |