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Goldman Cuts S&P 500 Target, Sees Higher Risk of Recession Amid Tariffs
JPMorgan's "April 2nd" must-read Trade manual: "UK, Japan, and Australia are relatively safe," and subsequent negotiations will continue until June.
JPMorgan believes that, according to Besant, the trade friction during this stage may last until June. The tariff policy will go through several stages such as announcement, countermeasures, escalation, and reconciliation. Importantly, this is not a one-time clearing event for the stock market, and tariffs have not yet been fully reflected in market prices.
US Stocks Go Through Another Swing Day
Options Market Statistics: Tesla Drops Despite Offering Interest-Free Loans in China; Options Pop
After a bleak first quarter, Wall Street "wants to bottom out, but it is not the right time yet," and traders said, "It would have been better to liquidate on January 22."
The US stock market recorded its worst performance in three years in the first quarter, with the gap compared to Other global stock markets being the largest in decades. The market consensus is that "now is not the time to bottom out," and the "reciprocal tariff" policy on April 2 is the focus of the market. Some believe that "most politicians do not want to bring about their own demise," and Trump may release Bullish Signals on Wednesday to ease stock market pressure; however, others argue that considering the far-reaching impact of tariff policies, the return of volatility, and a substantial shift in market sentiment, the US stock market has not yet reached its bottom.
Stagflation Risks, Looming Tariffs Fuel Stock-market Jitters in Ugly Quarter for S&P 500