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Bond market madness returns! Investors are rushing into long-term bond ETFs, betting on the Fed's significant 300 basis points interest rate cut.
With the market's reevaluation of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations this year, investors are flocking to long-term bond ETFs for safe haven.
The US deficit far exceeded expectations, but the 'long US bond' trade still returned.
The trading of US bonds that leaned long in the past week has rebounded significantly. According to a JPMorgan bond customer survey, in the week ended June 17th, the long position of US bonds rose by 6 percentage points, pushing the net long position to the highest level since May 20th. The overnight weaker retail data further fueled the rise in US bond prices and diving yields.
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The inverted yield curve of the US bond has been ongoing for nearly two years, and the signal of economic recession is still unresolved.
Zhītōng Cáijīng APP learned that one of the most watched economic recession indicators in the bond market has shown the possibility of an economic downturn in the past two years, despite the fact that the USA economy has not yet contracted.
US Services Sector Expands by the Most in Nine Months