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Xinda Securities: ND PAPER's performance in the first half of 2024 is strong, with accelerated integration of pulp and paper layout.
Cinda Securities published a research report estimating that ND PAPER (02689) will have a net income attributable to shareholders of 1.21 billion yuan, 2.11 billion yuan, and 3.54 billion yuan for the fiscal years 2025-2027. The company achieved revenues of 29.134 billion yuan in FY2024H2 (January-June 2024), which is an increase of 13.8% year-on-year, with a net income of 0.458 billion yuan (up 146.1% year-on-year). The sales volume increased by 1.6 million tons year-on-year to 9.6 million tons, and after excluding exchange gains and losses, the net profit per ton was 45 yuan (an increase of 10 yuan/ton quarter-on-quarter). Despite a slight decline in profitability in Q3 due to weak terminal demand and sluggish demand,
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China International Capital Corporation Papermaking 2025 Outlook: Starting Point of Demand Recovery, End of Capacity Cycle.
Papermaking, being a cyclical commodity highly sensitive to Consumer demand, is expected to benefit from high certainty in demand by 2025, especially with the expectation of mid-single-digit year-on-year growth in the demand for packaging paper and specialty paper.
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Guosen Securities: Light industry operations under pressure in Q3, business climate bottoming out, looking forward to trade-in programs to improve domestic demand.
In Q3 2024, the total revenue of listed companies in the home sector decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, net income attributable to parent company shareholders decreased by 23.5% year-on-year, gross margin decreased by 2.5 percentage points to 31.0%, net margin decreased by 2.0 percentage points to 7.4%.