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Base Metal Prices Fall as Investors Await Further Tariff Clarity -- Market Talk
Copper Edges Lower as Investors Weigh Trump Policies -- Market Talk
Metal Prices Rise; U.S. Tariffs Set to Play Crucial Role in Near-term -- Market Talk
Goldman Sachs released a tariff forecast: the possibility of the USA imposing a 10% tariff on Copper in Q1 is about 50%.
① Wall Street traders are preparing to analyze Trump's inauguration speech word by word, to determine the impact of his policies on the market; ② Goldman Sachs stated the likelihood of a 10% tariff on Copper by the USA in Q1 is 50%, which is basically consistent with Goldman Sachs' own forecast; ③ The oil market believes the likelihood of Trump imposing tariffs on oil is close to 40%, higher than Goldman Sachs' expected 15%; additionally, Goldman Sachs said the likelihood of tariffs on Gold is only 10%.
Trump's team plans to gradually raise tariffs, putting pressure on the dollar, while Copper prices continue to rise.
Copper prices continued to rise this year, as reports indicate that the incoming Trump administration will gradually raise trade tariffs instead of making a significant increase all at once.
In December, China's import volume of CSI Commodity Equity Index showed a mixed trend, with iron ore remaining at a high level, while the import volume of Coal and Soybean reached a record high for the year.
In December, the year-on-year increase in unrefined Copper and copper materials, integrated circuits, iron ore and its concentrates ranked first, while the decline in finished oil was the largest. The import volume of iron ore has remained above 0.1 billion tons for six consecutive months, and the import volume of Coal has remained above 45 million tons for the sixth consecutive month.