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[Brokerage Focus] Citic Securities believes that the demand for the cement industry is expected to be in a downward phase in the medium to long term.
Jingu Financial News | Citic Securities stated that the cement industry's demand is expected to be in a downward phase in the medium to long term, with future industry changes focusing more on the supply side. In 2016, the supply-side reform of the cement industry led to a significant reduction in new cement clinker production capacity, but the speed of eliminating outdated capacity was slower than expected, and the industry still faces widespread overcapacity issues. Since 2024, cement demand has dropped significantly, leading to severe losses in the industry. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has revised and issued the "Implementation Measures for Capacity Replacement in the Cement and Glass Industries in 2024", which is expected to accelerate the elimination of more than 0.3 billion tons of outdated cement clinker production capacity, reducing actual capacity from 2.1 billion tons to the designed capacity of 1.
Building materials and cement stocks are weak, Conch Cement (00914) fell by 3.34%, In late October, the national cement market demand slightly weakened month-on-month.
Jingu Finance News | Building materials stocks are weak, with Conch Cement (00914) falling by 3.34%, Huaxin Cement (06655) falling by 2.39%, Westchinacement (02233) falling by 1.6%, Asia Cement (China) (00743) falling by 1.26%, China National Building Materials (03323) falling by 0.6%. Gtja stated that in late October, the national cement market demand slightly weakened compared to the previous month, mainly due to the northern regions entering the off-peak season one after another, about to start the winter staggered production cycle; demand in the southern regions remains stable, aiming to improve profits in the final demand period and continue to drive prices upwards.
Conch Cement (00914.HK) received a JPMorgan shareholding of 1.6151 million shares.
According to the latest equity disclosure information from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 4, 2024, Conch Cement (00914.HK) saw JPMorgan Chase & Co. increasing its shareholding by acquiring 1.6151 million shares at an average price of 22.1442 Hong Kong dollars per share on October 29, 2024, involving approximately 35.7653 million Hong Kong dollars. After the increase, JPMorgan Chase & Co. now holds a total of 66,092,361 shares, increasing its shareholding percentage from 4.96% to 5.08%.
Founder Securities: Policy guidance is gradually strengthening, expecting marginal improvement in the future building materials market.
Currently, the building materials industry index is performing well, with most individual stocks rising. It is expected that the building materials market will see marginal improvement in the future, and the industry sector will have a good performance. In the near term, it is necessary to continue to pay attention to the impact of short-term policies on the real estate, infrastructure, and new energy markets.
Hong Kong stock concept tracking|Real estate market transaction active, institutions highly concerned about cement supply side reform (with concept stocks)
The building materials sector as a whole is still in the slow recovery phase at the bottom, with valuations and positions also at low levels.
Anhui Conch Cement's Q3 Profit Slides 15%; Shares Rise 3%
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