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The LPR remained unchanged in January. Will mortgage rates decrease again in 2025?
① Since January, the policy interest rates, which are the basis for LPR Quotes, have stabilized, suggesting that the January LPR Quote will remain unchanged. ② There is a possibility of interest rate cuts in the first half of 2025, with the total reduction expected to reach 50 basis points for the year, which is higher than the 30 basis points reduction from the previous year, leading to a significant downward adjustment of the LPR Quote.
Keenan Securities: Real Estate sales in the fourth quarter are stabilizing marginally, and the annual scale of starts and completions has significantly contracted.
The expected sales data for January is weak, and the sustainability of market recovery still needs to be observed.
Mainland Real Estate has partially warmed up as LONGFOR GROUP (00960) rises by 3.73%. Institutions indicate that the continuous improvement of the land market is a prerequisite for the market recovery.
Jinwu Financial News | Some Mainland Real Estate stocks have shown signs of recovery. LONGFOR GROUP (00960) increased by 3.73%, YUEXIU PROPERTY (00123) rose by 3.35%, CHINA RES LAND (01109) went up by 3.1%, CHINA OVERSEAS (00688) advanced by 3.01%, and CH OVS G OCEANS (00081) climbed by 2.38%. The National Bureau of Statistics released data showing that in December 2024, in 70 large and medium-sized cities, the sales prices of Commodity Residence in first-tier cities increased month-on-month, while the overall decline in second and third-tier cities narrowed; the year-on-year decline in first, second, and third-tier cities continued to narrow. In December, the new commercial properties in first-tier cities...
Statistics Bureau: In 2024, national Real Estate Development investment is 10,028 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.6% compared to the previous year.
In 2024, the national Real Estate Development investment is 10,028 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.6%, of which Residence investment is 7,604 billion yuan, down 10.5%.
Real estate Bonds plummeted, with the decline of "0.21 million科02" expanding to 27% after a trading halt. This year, real estate companies still have over 500 billion Bonds to repay.
In 2024, the Real Estate Industry achieved a total domestic credit Bonds financing of 344.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.5%. In 2025, the maturing Bonds balance for real estate companies is 313.547 billion yuan, with a repurchase balance of 227.444 billion yuan, where March and June are peak repayment months.
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Longfor Group Holdings Limited (HKG:960)?
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