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Sinolink Securities: Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee first proposed real estate. Second-hand housing prices in Beijing and Shanghai increased month-on-month.
The communique of the Third Plenary Session on the policy front first proposes to prevent and resolve real estate risks and point out the direction of future real estate development. It is expected that the previous policy of destocking will accelerate its implementation, restrictive policies will continue to be relaxed, and the new model of "indemnificatory apartments + commodity apartments" will accelerate its construction, speeding up the process of market stabilization.
Abnormal movement observation | Mainland real estate stocks fell during trading, with basic factors improving but residence prices continue to decline.
On July 19th, during trading hours, mainland real estate stocks were in decline. As of press time, China RES Land (01109.HK) fell 5.20% to HKD 25.5. Longfor Group (00960.HK) fell 4.75% to HKD 10.82. Seazen (01030.HK) fell 4.46% to HKD 1.5. According to news from Futubull, despite a decline in trading volume in several cities in July, the CRIC monitoring data shows that, thanks to favorable policies from central to local government since May, the market is still in a bullish trend.
According to Zhongzhi Research Institute, the merger and acquisition activity in the real estate industry continued to increase in June.
According to Zhongzhi Research Institute monitoring, there were 17 merger and acquisition trades in the real estate industry in June 2024, an increase of 2 compared to the previous month.
Hong Kong stock market fluctuations | Mainland real estate stocks have the highest increase, and the policy effects have been reflected in the transaction end according to institutions' bullish view on continuous recovery in real estate.
Mainland real estate stocks rose in early trading, as of press time, Shimao group (00813) rose 12.86%, closing at HKD 0.79; Sunac (01918) rose 8.26%, closing at HKD 1.18; China Vanke (02202) rose 6.86%, closing at HKD 4.83; Agile Group (00884) rose 7.94%, closing at HKD 0.34; Seazen (01030) rose 5.76%, closing at HKD 1.47.
Hong Kong stocks fluctuate | Mainland real estate stocks rose in early trading. New home sales in the first week of July turned positive year-on-year, and the effect of real estate policies is expected to continue to be released.
According to the WiseNews app, mainland real estate shares rose across the board in early trading, as of press time, Sino-Ocean Gp(03377) increased by 4.76%, to HKD 0.33, Seazen(01030) rose by 4.62%, to HKD 1.36, Shimao Group(00813) increased by 4.62%, to HKD 0.68, Cifi Hold Gp(00884) increased by 3.39%, to HKD 0.305. On the news front, according to statistics from Caitong Securities, the sales volume of commodity housing in the top 30 cities increased by 3.33 million square meters in the 27th week, an increase of 21.2% MoM and 31.9% YoY. In terms of city levels, the top 30
GF Sec: Land Activation Fund Established, New Home Sales Turn Positive year-on-year in early July.
GF sec released research reports stating that the state-owned assets supervision and administration commission has set up a special fund for land consolidation with a total size of 30 billion yuan and requires central SOEs to report pilot projects to try to solve the problem of long-term high inventory in the real estate market. On the local policy side, this week still mainly focuses on relaxing housing provident fund policies and providing housing subsidies to boost demand, and various regions are still exploring new policies to stimulate demand.
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