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[Brokerage Focus] CITIC SEC expects that under the all-round stimulus of domestic demand policies, the Macau Gambling Sector is likely to further improve in terms of prosperity.
Jingwu Financial News | CITIC SEC stated that the December Politburo meeting has lifted the direction for Consumer recovery, considering that the core momentum for high-end Commodity/Service consumption among consumers in China comes more from the wealth effect. Therefore, based on the assumption that Real Estate is gradually stabilizing after a decline, the firm expects that the consumption growth rate in first-tier cities will rebound first. In a horizontal comparison, the firm is Bullish on Macau, as it celebrates the 25th anniversary of its return, where Gambling as a 'cyclical + high-end consumption' category may become a leading Indicator for domestic demand recovery. From an Industry perspective, GGR data for January to November 2024 is expected to recover to 77% of the same period in 2019.
[Brokerage Focus] Morgan Stanley: It is expected that total Gambling revenue in Macau will increase by 5% year-on-year in 2025, reaching 238 billion Macau dollars.
Jinwu Financial News | Morgan Stanley's recent Research Reports indicate that the Macau gambling industry is expected to achieve slight but stable growth by 2025. The report estimates that the total gambling revenue (GGR) in Macau will reach 238 billion patacas in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5%, while the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) is projected to reach 8 billion dollars, a year-on-year increase of 6%. Although market expectations for the gambling industry are relatively cautious, Morgan Stanley believes that as various gambling companies increase investments in non-gambling sectors and improve service quality, market share and profitability are expected to further enhance. Morgan Stanley believes that although the growth rate is relatively mild.
According to JPMorgan, Macau Casino stocks lack positive catalysts in the short term, with GALAXY ENT (00027) being the top choice.
J.P. Morgan's recommended order is GALAXY ENT (00027), followed by WYNN MACAU (01128), SANDS CHINA (01928), and MGM CHINA (02282), then SJM HOLDINGS (00880), and lastly MELCO INT'L DEV (00200).
J.P. Morgan: Macau's gambling revenue for the first eight days of December has slowed down as expected, with GALAXY ENT being the top choice for next year.
JPMorgan released a research report stating that the top choice among Macau Casino stocks for next year is GALAXY ENT (00027), with a "Shareholding" rating and a Target Price of HKD 48, reflecting its unique profit drivers and a low enterprise value multiple (EV/EBITDA) of 9 times. After that, WYNN MACAU (01128), SANDS CHINA (01928), and MGM CHINA (02282) are also expected to perform well (these three companies share the same ranking), followed by SJM HOLDINGS (00880), and lastly, MELCO INT'L DEV (00200). The report mentioned that the gross gaming revenue for Macau for the first eight days of December was 4.5 billion Macau patacas (down...
[Brokerage Focus] JPMorgan expects Q4 Macau Gambling revenue to increase by 3% to 4% quarter-on-quarter, with GALAXY ENT (00027) as the top pick.
Jinwu Financial News | JPMorgan released a research report indicating that the gross gaming revenue in Macau for the first eight days of December was 4.5 billion (Macau Pataca, the same below), which corresponds to a daily average of 0.562 billion Patacas, a 9% decrease compared to the average daily gaming revenue in November, but within expectations. During this period, the gross gaming revenue from the mass market business was about 105% of the pre-pandemic level, while VIP rooms recovered to about 20% to 23%. Although growth in gaming revenue is expected to slow in December, a quarterly increase of 3% to 4% is still anticipated for the fourth quarter, reaching the highest level in 20 quarters, and this growth momentum is believed to support the industry in meeting the general expectations for the fourth quarter and this fiscal year.
J.P. Morgan: Macau's Gambling revenue for the first eight days of December is expected to slow down month-on-month. The preferred choice for next year is GALAXY ENT (00027).
Morgan Stanley's order of stock selection for Macau Casino next year is GALAXY ENT (00027), WYNN MACAU (01128), SANDS CHINA (01928), and MGM CHINA (02282) (three companies ranked equally), followed by SJM HOLDINGS (00880) and MELCO INT'L DEV (00200).
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