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China Securities Co.,Ltd.: Policy encouragement + new technology promotion + overseas opportunities create new chances, maintaining a bullish outlook on the Innovative Drugs industry.
National policies encourage the development of Innovative Drugs, new technologies promote the rapid growth of the Industry, new opportunities arise for going overseas, and there is a continuous Bullish outlook for the Innovative Drugs Industry.
Sinolink: The policy inflection point is clear, suggesting to start increasing allocation in the pharmaceutical sector.
In the segmented Industry, it is recommended to focus on allocating resources to Innovative Drugs and left-side Sectors (such as Medical Device, Traditional Chinese Medicine, Consumer Medical, chain pharmacies, etc.) for opportunities in reverse situations of individual stocks as the two main lines.
GTJA: The centralized procurement of Chinese Patent Medicine is still in the early stages, and quality improvement and expansion are expected to continue to progress.
GTJA released a Research Report stating that the bidding for the third batch of national Chinese Patent Medicine centralized procurement has opened, with the reduction slightly exceeding expectations.
The seasonal influenza A has entered the epidemic period, and the sales of related Chinese Patent Medicine products have significantly increased.
① Recently, the positive rate of influenza virus has significantly increased, with over 99% being type A influenza. Market data shows a clear increase in the demand for various Traditional Chinese Medicine cold medicine products. ② Today, stock prices of several listed companies in the Traditional Chinese Medicine Industry, such as Shanxi Zhendong Pharmaceutical, Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group, and Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical, have reached the daily limit, with the Traditional Chinese Medicine Sector overall rising, and the Traditional Chinese Medicine 50 ETF increasing by 3.21%.
The current cycle of Traditional Chinese Medicine materials is entering a downturn phase, and pharmaceutical companies may face a cost "turning point."
In the second half of 2024, the prices of Traditional Chinese Medicine materials are expected to decline overall; the semi-annual and third quarter reports of this year show that the gross margin of some Chinese Patent Medicine listed companies has significantly decreased, indicating a notable impact of the fluctuation in Traditional Chinese Medicine material prices on costs. However, with the retreat in Traditional Chinese Medicine material prices, production costs for companies will also decrease.
HAITONG SEC: The trend of moderate price reductions in the centralized procurement of Traditional Chinese Medicine varieties continues, and the domestic Pharmaceutical industry is expected to usher in a wave of mergers and acquisitions.
HAITONG SEC released a Research Report stating that the gentle trend of price reduction for Traditional Chinese Medicine varieties continues.