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[Brokerage Focus] CITIC SEC expects that under the all-round stimulus of domestic demand policies, the Macau Gambling Sector is likely to further improve in terms of prosperity.
Jingwu Financial News | CITIC SEC stated that the December Politburo meeting has lifted the direction for Consumer recovery, considering that the core momentum for high-end Commodity/Service consumption among consumers in China comes more from the wealth effect. Therefore, based on the assumption that Real Estate is gradually stabilizing after a decline, the firm expects that the consumption growth rate in first-tier cities will rebound first. In a horizontal comparison, the firm is Bullish on Macau, as it celebrates the 25th anniversary of its return, where Gambling as a 'cyclical + high-end consumption' category may become a leading Indicator for domestic demand recovery. From an Industry perspective, GGR data for January to November 2024 is expected to recover to 77% of the same period in 2019.
[Brokerage Focus] Morgan Stanley: It is expected that total Gambling revenue in Macau will increase by 5% year-on-year in 2025, reaching 238 billion Macau dollars.
Jinwu Financial News | Morgan Stanley's recent Research Reports indicate that the Macau gambling industry is expected to achieve slight but stable growth by 2025. The report estimates that the total gambling revenue (GGR) in Macau will reach 238 billion patacas in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5%, while the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) is projected to reach 8 billion dollars, a year-on-year increase of 6%. Although market expectations for the gambling industry are relatively cautious, Morgan Stanley believes that as various gambling companies increase investments in non-gambling sectors and improve service quality, market share and profitability are expected to further enhance. Morgan Stanley believes that although the growth rate is relatively mild.
Individual Investors Own 17% of Sands China Ltd. (HKG:1928) Shares but Public Companies Control 71% of the Company
According to JPMorgan, Macau Casino stocks lack positive catalysts in the short term, with GALAXY ENT (00027) being the top choice.
J.P. Morgan's recommended order is GALAXY ENT (00027), followed by WYNN MACAU (01128), SANDS CHINA (01928), and MGM CHINA (02282), then SJM HOLDINGS (00880), and lastly MELCO INT'L DEV (00200).
Hong Kong stocks fluctuate | Macau Casino stocks rose today as the market anticipates supportive policies for tourism in Macau. Morgan Stanley predicts a 3-4% growth in Macau's gaming revenue in the fourth quarter.
The Macau Casino stocks rose today, as of the time of this report, MGM CHINA (02282) increased by 4.09%, reporting at 10.18 HKD; SANDS CHINA (01928) increased by 4.28%, reporting at 21.95 HKD; GALAXY ENT (00027) increased by 1.94%, reporting at 36.85 HKD; MELCO INT'L DEV (00200) increased by 1.78%, reporting at 5.15 HKD.
J.P. Morgan: Macau's gambling revenue for the first eight days of December has slowed down as expected, with GALAXY ENT being the top choice for next year.
JPMorgan released a research report stating that the top choice among Macau Casino stocks for next year is GALAXY ENT (00027), with a "Shareholding" rating and a Target Price of HKD 48, reflecting its unique profit drivers and a low enterprise value multiple (EV/EBITDA) of 9 times. After that, WYNN MACAU (01128), SANDS CHINA (01928), and MGM CHINA (02282) are also expected to perform well (these three companies share the same ranking), followed by SJM HOLDINGS (00880), and lastly, MELCO INT'L DEV (00200). The report mentioned that the gross gaming revenue for Macau for the first eight days of December was 4.5 billion Macau patacas (down...