Sinolink Securities: Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee first proposed real estate. Second-hand housing prices in Beijing and Shanghai increased month-on-month.
The communique of the Third Plenary Session on the policy front first proposes to prevent and resolve real estate risks and point out the direction of future real estate development. It is expected that the previous policy of destocking will accelerate its implementation, restrictive policies will continue to be relaxed, and the new model of "indemnificatory apartments + commodity apartments" will accelerate its construction, speeding up the process of market stabilization.
According to Zhongzhi Research Institute, the merger and acquisition activity in the real estate industry continued to increase in June.
According to Zhongzhi Research Institute monitoring, there were 17 merger and acquisition trades in the real estate industry in June 2024, an increase of 2 compared to the previous month.
GF Sec: Land Activation Fund Established, New Home Sales Turn Positive year-on-year in early July.
GF sec released research reports stating that the state-owned assets supervision and administration commission has set up a special fund for land consolidation with a total size of 30 billion yuan and requires central SOEs to report pilot projects to try to solve the problem of long-term high inventory in the real estate market. On the local policy side, this week still mainly focuses on relaxing housing provident fund policies and providing housing subsidies to boost demand, and various regions are still exploring new policies to stimulate demand.
htsc: The land market supply and demand continues to be weak, focusing on real estate companies with core urban resources.
The land market is still weakly running in the first half of 2024, and the trend of shrinking volume continues, while the previously maintained rising transaction average price also decreased year-on-year in the first half of the year.
HTSC: Stabilization of housing prices in Beijing and Shanghai sends bullish signals and is expected to accelerate the recovery of the real estate market.
HTSC stated that several volume and price indicators in first-tier cities have shown improvement compared to the previous period. In particular, the cessation of the decline in housing prices in Beijing and Shanghai has conveyed bullish signals, and it is expected to accelerate the expectation of real estate market recovery. It is still necessary to continue to monitor the sustainability of the recovery of volume and price in core cities.
Chinese Property Share Prices Likely Volatile Ahead of Third Plenum -- Market Talk
Chinese property share prices will likely be volatile ahead of the mid-July third plenary session as investors speculate about further policy stimulus for the sector, Daiwa analyst William Wu says in a research note.
htsc: There are signs of real estate sales recovery after the new policy.
HTSC stated that since 517, there have been signs of real estate sales recovery.
Ke Rui: In the first half of the year, the total amount of land acquired by the top 100 real estate companies decreased by 40% year-on-year, which is the largest decline since 2023.
Overall, in the first six months, corporate investment has continued to shrink. The total amount of land acquired by the top 100 investors in the first half of the year decreased by 40% year-on-year, the largest decline since 2023.
Chinese Regulators Likely to Step Up Property Support in 2H
Chinese regulators will likely step up intervention to boost the property sector in 2H, Daiwa analyst William Wu writes in a note. All Tier 1 cities have eased home-buying curbs aggressively since the
Next China, Hong Kong Stock Rally Will Likely Need Concrete Property Sector Policy
Hong Kong and China's stock market rally in May was driven by the re-rating of valuations to a more normalized level from the extremely bearish sentiment and investor positioning, thanks to the govern
China's SOEs Buying Excess Property a Major Step Forward in Rescue Plan
China's state-owned enterprises buying excess housing from the market could be a big leap forward in rescuing the country's property sector as it opens the door for direct public financing, ANZ Resear
HTSC: China's mortgage rates may still have room to fall and remain bullish on the valuation repair of the real estate sector.
HTSC remains bullish on the real estate sector's valuation recovery, focusing on robust real estate developers with more resources in core cities and improved product capabilities, as well as property management companies with resilient performance, stable cash flow, and generous dividends.
China Property Firms Could Revamp Business Models Amid Consolidation -- Market Talk
China's property companies could transform their business models amid accelerating industry consolidation, Citi analysts say in a research note.
The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development announced that 16,800 old urban communities across the country have been renovated and reconstructed from January to April.
In 2024, the country plans to start the renovation of 54,000 old urban communities.
Open Source Securities: Inventory pressure still exists in the property market, and subsequent financing progress is still worth paying attention to
According to incomplete statistics from Open Source Securities, as of May 28, 2024, 14 provinces (including Shenzhen, Shanghai, and Guangzhou) have introduced “trade-in” policies for commercial housing. Among them, Jiangsu, Shandong, and Zhejiang have implemented the most cities. In terms of urban energy levels, first-tier cities Shenzhen, Shanghai, and Guangzhou have successively implemented “trade-in” policies, and third-tier cities have implemented more “trade-in” policies.
CITIC Construction Investment Securities: China Real Estate Has Entered the “Consumer Goods Era”
To understand the current reality of real estate in China and the direction of China's real estate policy, we need to pay full attention to the fact that real estate in China has moved from one big era (era of investment goods) to another (era of consumer goods).
Open Source Securities: Real estate investment and sales data continued to be low in April, and the market is still adjusting
Open Source Securities released a research report saying that after the Politburo meeting on April 30, the central government introduced a number of loose home purchase loan policies. Various regions lifted purchase restrictions in core cities such as Hangzhou and Xi'an due to city policies. The policy side was more active than before.
SDIC Securities: The new real estate policy goes hand in hand, and the collection and storage of state-owned assets is expected to accelerate and continue to be optimistic about the performance of building materials in the good production chain
The real estate industry has ushered in major favorable policies. Purchase restrictions have been relaxed in many places, and mortgage relaxation policies have exceeded expectations. Trade-in and state-owned assets collection and storage are expected to accelerate. The sales side and financing side are taking multiple measures together to help the building materials industry recover demand and improve repayments, and priority benefits for consumer building materials in the real estate chain.
China Likely to Roll Out More Property Easing Measures, GS Says
China is likely to roll out more property easing measures, especially on the demand side, Goldman Sachs analysts say in a research note. China's new housing stimulus measures announced Friday could st
China Eases Mortgage Rules in Latest Push to Aid Property Sector
Beijing has eased mortgage rules and urged local governments to buy unsold houses in some of policy makers' boldest moves yet to revive the property sector. Financial regulators said Friday that they
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