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CITIC SEC: The policy framework continues in 2025, with increased policy support helping the Real Estate sector stabilize and rebound.
In the medium to long term, China's real estate market has a broad base of genuine demand, and the supply-side reform has basically been completed, providing a promising development prospect for high-quality Real Estate Development companies.
Hong Kong stocks move | Mainland real estate stocks opened higher across the board. The Political Bureau meeting emphasized to "stabilize the real estate market," and policies for both supply and demand in real estate are expected to increase.
Mainland real estate shares opened higher across the board. As of the time of writing, sunac (01918) rose 13.84% to HKD 3.29; ronshinechina (03301) rose 13.73% to HKD 0.58; radiance hldgs (09993) rose 12.65% to HKD 3.74.
Standard Chartered: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 125 basis points from the current period to the third quarter of next year. The housing market in Hong Kong is expected to stabilize in an L-shaped manner next year.
Although the usa's interest rate cut is slower than expected in both magnitude and speed, Hong Kong silver has reacted quite quickly to follow the usa's interest rate cut, hence it is expected that the real estate market will stabilize in an L-shaped manner next year.
Ke Erui Research Center: In November, the performance of the top 100 real estate companies decreased by 16.6% month-on-month, with high investment focus and concentration.
Looking ahead to the market, Ke Rui believes that December coincides with the performance sprint season for real estate companies, and it is possible that some real estate companies will carry out year-end promotions to boost their performance. Considering this impact, overall transaction volumes are expected to rise month-on-month, showing a slight uptick.
China Finger Research Institute: In the 49th week of 2024, the sales area of new houses in 30 cities was 3.13 million square meters, a decrease of 28.7% compared to the previous period, and an increase of 21% year-on-year.
In the 49th week of 2024 (12.01-12.07), the new housing transaction area in 30 cities was 3.13 million square meters, a decrease of 28.7% from the previous period and an increase of 21% year-on-year.
In many areas of fujian, mortgage rates have been adjusted to 3.1%. Experts say that ultra-low rates are unsustainable and banks are correcting their "involution-style" competition.
①In multiple cities in Fujian Province including Xiamen, Fuzhou, Putian, etc., the housing loan interest rate has been uniformly raised from 3.05% to 3.1%. ②The unclear lower limit of interest rates has caused internal price competition among banks, this adjustment is a correction to excessively low interest rates and does not mean policy tightening.
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whqqq : If China’s property market is posting these numbers it underpins strength in the greater economy and boosts consumer confidence.