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On the first trading day of the New Year, Bank stocks opened high and then fell back. Many Institutions: the opening performance may be better than in previous years, but the trend of declining net interest margin remains unchanged.
① The crediting ratio between each quarter is expected to recover to a ratio of 4:3:2:1. ② It is expected that policy trends will continue, gradually boosting demand in the Real Estate sector. ③ This year, the decline in net interest margin for Banks is narrower compared to 2024, with a calculated interest margin of 1.34% under neutral assumptions.
Hong Kong stock morning report on January 2: Alibaba cleared its holdings in SUNART RETAIL for over 13.1 billion Hong Kong dollars, and BYD's Electric Vehicles sales are expected to increase by more than 40% in 2024.
① In 2024, the fundraising amount of Hong Kong's IPO market returns to the top five globally. ② Alibaba clears out SUNART RETAIL with over 13.1 billion Hong Kong dollars. ③ BYD's sales of Electric Vehicles in 2024 increase by over 40% year-on-year. ④ New loan approvals in Hong Kong in November show a month-on-month growth of about 28%.
December electric vehicle report card: BYD monthly sales of 0.515 million vehicles, "Weilai, Xiaopeng, and Ideal" all reach new highs.
On January 1, 2025, China's mainstream electric vehicle brands delivered impressive results for December.
Top ten macro events globally in 2024: The US and Japan central banks both pivot, China's Assets explode, and epic surge of Gold and Bitcoin.
This year, major global central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, have all entered a path of easing, while the Bank of Japan announced the end of the negative interest rate era. The narrowing of the interest rate differential between Japan and the USA briefly spurred a reversal in yen carry trades. Chinese assets have strongly rebounded under the boost of policy 'combinations'. The US elections have driven the 'Trump trade' to become popular, with Bitcoin and Gold, the two major assets, dominating in chaotic times.
The Electric Vehicle Hundred People Meeting released the top ten trends in the automotive industry for 2025: Solid State Battery accelerates mass production and AI technology brings new transformations.
① Trend One: The increment market for Autos is entering a stage dominated by electricity, with an estimated 16.5 million New energy Fund vehicles sold in 2025; ② Trend Two: Plug-in hybrids and range-extended technologies are integrating advanced electric and RBOB Gasoline technologies, becoming an important force in New energy Fund increases; ③ Trend Three: New energy Fund Commercial Vehicles are entering a rapid growth phase, with the penetration rate of heavy trucks expected to exceed 20%;
Brokerage morning meeting highlights: It is expected that 2025 will be the first year when the Real Estate Industry truly achieves stability and long-term development.
At today's Brokerage morning meeting, CITIC SEC proposed that 2025 will be the year when the Real Estate Industry truly stabilizes and moves forward; Tianfeng stated that industry demand is expected to recover, and the Autos Sector may gradually become optimistic; China Securities Co.,Ltd. pointed out that the current valuation of the Baijiu(Chinese Liquor) Sector remains low overall, highlighting its long-term investment value.