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Gold Futures End Higher Amidst Ongoing Geopolitical Tensions
As fears around Trump rise, the trends in Emerging Markets MMF and Gold diverge.
Amid expectations of Trump possibly returning to the White House, the 30-day correlation between Gold and the MSCI Emerging Markets MMF Index has dropped to its lowest point in nearly three years. Over the past three years, these two Assets have been positively correlated 86% of the time, but now they are experiencing a 30-day negative correlation, which has occurred for only the fifth time in three years.
Guolian's Nonferrous Metals investment strategy for 2025: Supply constraints, bullish on the cyclical trend.
Looking ahead to the Nonferrous Metals Industry in 2025, the interest rate cut cycle combined with re-inflation expectations supports a rise in gold prices; the supply and demand gap for electrolytic Aluminum is gradually emerging, making the upward price channel for Aluminum smoother; the tight situation at the mines is being transmitted to the smelting side, Bullish on the continued rise of Copper prices.
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