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The U.S. Treasury Secretary wants the "natural decline of U.S. bond yields," and the market "understands it."
Traders are betting heavily on a further decline in U.S. Treasury yields. On just Tuesday, approximately 60 million dollars was wagered that the 10-year Treasury yield will drop below 4.15%. If the yield further falls to 4%, this position will profit approximately 40 million dollars.
Inflation Expected to Remain Above Fed's Target -- Market Talk
Treasuries Rally as Traders Boost Bets on Fed Interest-Rate Cuts
Musk's DOGE is booming and cutting costs, but the bond market is simply not buying it...
Although the DOGE team claims to have achieved a reduction in spending of 55 billion dollars, this figure represents an extremely small proportion of the annual budget, far from sufficient to affect the 1.8 trillion dollar budget deficit. Since Trump's administration began, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds has fluctuated between 4.4% and 4.7%, higher than the approximately 4.3% just before he was elected.
Treasury Yields Fall on Soft U.S. Economic Data -- Market Talk
"The era of the Wealthy Economy"? The top 10% of the population in the USA accounts for 49.7% of total national consumption, reaching a historic high!
The USA economy is increasingly dependent on the Consumer spending of high-income groups. Economist Mark Zandi estimates that the consumption of just the top 10% of high-income individuals contributes nearly one-third of the USA's GDP. However, some analyses point out that if a decline in the stock market or housing prices affects the confidence of high-income groups, resulting in reduced spending, it will have a significant impact on the overall economy.