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Treasury Bonds Have Lost 50% In 5 Years, Yet Reversal Signals Emerge In Q1: Could Tariffs Actually Push TLT Higher?
Treasury Yields End Losing Quarter Ahead of Tariffs, Jobs Data -- Market Talk
What kind of week will this be? Global stock markets are facing a "tariff storm," and U.S. Treasury bonds are back in focus.
Since this quarter, U.S. Treasury bonds have outperformed Stocks, with a cumulative increase of more than 2%, while the S&P 500 Index has declined by about 5%. Analysis suggests that the 'reciprocal tariff' policy may impact the stock of Industries such as Autos, chips, and Pharmaceuticals, while the outlook of economic downturn and declining stock market will continue to elevate U.S. Treasury bonds as a safe haven Assets.
Trump worked overtime over the weekend. On Monday, U.S. stock futures and Asian stock markets plummeted, with risk aversion driving up gold prices and the yen, while the 10-Year T-Note yield fell by 5 basis points.
The upcoming announcement of a new round of tariff policies by Trump has raised concerns in the market, causing a general decline in Global stock markets, Gold prices to reach an all-time high, the yen to appreciate, and US bond yields to decrease. The Asia-Pacific stock market is weakening, with the yen performing strongly in the Forex market. Russian oil may face "secondary tariffs," increasing risks in the Energy market.
The shockwaves of the trade war are tearing apart the financial markets, and U.S. Treasuries have once again become a safe haven.
The global trade war has increased the risk of a significant slowdown in the USA's economic growth and has affected investors' portfolios.
Barclays Favors Core Bonds Over Equities as Tariffs Loom -- Market Talk