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The Shenzhen real estate market has added "four fires."
Stabilizing after a decline.
Will the sales of the top 100 real estate companies drop month-on-month in November? Will there be a strong finish in December?
① November is the second complete calendar month after the "926" easing policy. Overall, real estate companies' sales have declined compared to October; ② "It is expected that real estate companies will maintain strong promotional efforts in December to boost performance, and sales in top 100 companies and core cities are likely to continue improving on a month-on-month and year-on-year basis."
Hong Kong stocks have shown unusual movements, with mainland real estate generally rising. In November, the top 100 real estate companies' sales volume showed a clear rebound compared to the third quarter, with expectations for a major conference continui
Mainland real estate stocks generally rose, as of the time of publication, Shimao Group (00813) rose by 6.31%, to HK$1.18; RonshineChina (03301) rose by 5.68%, to HK$0.465; Sunac (01918) rose by 4.03%, to HK$2.58.
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Ping An Securities: Typical urban suburban areas have accumulated inventory and long turnover periods. It is expected that the bottoming out will lag behind the improvement of core areas and good products in the sector.
The path for the real estate industry to "stop falling and stabilize" will follow: "Good products — core areas in first-tier and second-tier cities — stabilization of the national economy — stabilization of the national housing market — stabilization of investment". Low-tier areas (suburbs of second-tier cities + third and fourth-tier cities) are hindered by high inventory levels, leading to a relatively delayed stabilization.
Follow up on Guangzhou! First-tier cities all cancel the standard of ordinary and non-ordinary residential properties, what is the market impact?
① With Guangzhou's official announcement today, all four first-tier cities have now canceled the standards for ordinary residences and non-ordinary residences. ② "For first-tier cities, after canceling the standards for ordinary residences and non-ordinary residences, it can significantly reduce the value-added tax costs in the second-hand housing trade process, lower transaction costs, and promote improving demand."
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