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The transformation of the Banking Industry in adversity in 2024: the mud and dawn of the "light asset" vision.
How far is dawn?
3 billion yuan! This year's first bank perpetual bond approval for "capital replenishment" has been granted to BANK OF GUIZHOU, with an issuance scale exceeding 1.6 trillion last year.
① On the evening of January 2, the official website of the National Financial Regulatory Administration showed that the regulatory authority approved BANK OF GUIZHOU to issue capital instruments not exceeding 3 billion yuan (inclusive), in the form of subordinated Bonds. The approval date is shown as December 23, 2024. ② In 2024, the issuance scale of perpetual Bonds by commercial banks exceeded 1.6 trillion yuan, significantly exceeding the 1.12 trillion yuan in 2023.
On the first trading day of the New Year, Bank stocks opened high and then fell back. Many Institutions: the opening performance may be better than in previous years, but the trend of declining net interest margin remains unchanged.
① The crediting ratio between each quarter is expected to recover to a ratio of 4:3:2:1. ② It is expected that policy trends will continue, gradually boosting demand in the Real Estate sector. ③ This year, the decline in net interest margin for Banks is narrower compared to 2024, with a calculated interest margin of 1.34% under neutral assumptions.
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Bank stocks have surged for several consecutive days, and the Hang Seng Index has recovered to 20,000 points. Bullish Signals from the fiscal side are favorable for the continuation of the rebound | Hong Kong stock barometer.
① The Hang Seng Index stands above the 20,000-point mark; why is it so strong in the short term? ② The fiscal side releases Bullish Signals; can it help sustain the rebound?