Can the Federal Reserve replicate the interest rate cuts of 2019 this time?
Guan Tao believes that the current USA is in the later stage of high inflation returning to trend values, and the intensity of the Trump 2.0 economic and trade friction has already exceeded that of Trump 1.0, which will increase the stickiness of inflation and even raise the risk of a secondary inflation. The policy space for the Federal Reserve is likely to be limited.
Brokerage morning meeting highlights: Focus on economic performance exceeding expectations or new catalysts in Technology, and emphasize structural opportunities in Technology and the pro-cyclical main line.
At today's Brokerage morning meeting, China Securities Co.,Ltd. suggested focusing on the economy exceeding expectations or new catalysts in Technology, emphasizing structural opportunities in Technology and pro-cyclical main lines; KSY Securities believes that the overall Hong Kong stock market has not yet entered a full bull market rally stage; HTSC stated that the overall lithium battery production scheduling in April has improved month-on-month, Bullish on the marginal continuous improvement of supply and demand in the Industry Chain.
GF SEC: The core Index of Hong Kong stocks leads the Global market, with future attention on the Internet and real estate Sectors.
GF SEC released a Research Report stating that the core Index of Hong Kong stocks leads the Global market, and the revaluation of Technology core Assets is ongoing.
Hong Kong Stock Morning Report | The State Administration for Market Regulation is reviewing CKH HOLDINGS' port Trade. CHINA RES GAS reported a net profit decrease of over 20% year-on-year last year.
① Trump: Any tariff agreement will be reached after the measures take effect on April 2. ② State Administration for Market Regulation: Review of CKH HOLDINGS port Trade will be conducted in accordance with the law. ③ Four major Banks, including Bank of China, China Construction Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, and Postal Savings Bank, announced plans for a private placement to introduce strategic investment from the Ministry of Finance, with a total amount of 500 billion yuan. ④ Gou Ping, Deputy Director of the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission: Strategic restructuring of state-owned automobile enterprises.
After Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan is also optimistic about the Chinese stock market: in the second quarter, "take a step back, take two steps forward"!
JPMorgan is Bullish on A-shares and has identified four major Bullish points: the relative profit growth advantage within Asia, DeepSeek's ability to reduce costs and enhance efficiency, the stabilization of the Real Estate market, and improved liquidity supporting A-share allocation. Although there will be adjustments at the beginning of the second quarter, the market is expected to continue ascending after the adjustments.
Hong Kong Stock Morning Report | Trump swings the tariff stick, JPMorgan raises the target for Chinese Stocks.
① The President of the USA, Trump, announced a 25% tariff on all imported Autos. ② The USA has placed several Chinese entities on the export control "entity list"; the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Commerce have spoken out. ③ The three major Indexes of the USA stock market closed lower, with most China Concept Stocks declining. ④ As the countdown to Trump's tariff enforcement begins, two Federal Reserve officials issue warnings of impact. ⑤ JPMorgan follows up by raising the target for China Stocks.
