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The current cycle of Traditional Chinese Medicine materials is entering a downturn phase, and pharmaceutical companies may face a cost "turning point."
In the second half of 2024, the prices of Traditional Chinese Medicine materials are expected to decline overall; the semi-annual and third quarter reports of this year show that the gross margin of some Chinese Patent Medicine listed companies has significantly decreased, indicating a notable impact of the fluctuation in Traditional Chinese Medicine material prices on costs. However, with the retreat in Traditional Chinese Medicine material prices, production costs for companies will also decrease.
Sinolink: The end of year centralized purchasing expectations are gradually being cleared, and the pharmaceutical sector行情 is expected to gradually start.
The pharmaceutical Sector is currently in a process of a triple reversal in performance, policies, and funding, with full confidence in the recovery of revenue profit growth and market resurgence of listed companies in the Sector by 2025.
Bearish landing? Hong Kong stocks in the pharmaceutical sector collectively strengthen with wuxi apptec rising over 8%.
① How much impact did the biological safety legislation have on domestic pharmaceutical stocks previously? ② How do industry insiders view the subsequent development of the biological legislation?
Hong Kong stock concept tracking | The biocontrol bill was not included in the latest version of NDAA. Institutions are bullish on the bottom opportunities in the CXO sector (with concept stocks attached).
On December 7, 2024, local time in the USA, the US Congressional Armed Services Committees in both the House and the Senate released the final agreement text of the 2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), which incorporates proposals from both chambers.
Honkong stock market movement | CRO concept stocks collectively opened higher as the bioprotective legislation was not included in the final version of the NDAA by the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives.
CRO concept stocks opened higher collectively. As of the time of writing, wuxi bio (02269) increased by 13.03%, trading at 19.6 Hong Kong dollars; wuxi apptec (02359) rose by 11.72%, trading at 61 Hong Kong dollars; pharmaron (03759) climbed by 9.14%, trading at 16 Hong Kong dollars.
Sinolink Securities: The favorable wind of medical policies arrives first, followed by innovation going abroad and performance reversal.
In 2025, Sinolink believes that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical Sector will revolve around three main logics: 1) innovation going abroad; 2) demand recovery; 3) reversal of policy expectations.
How to break through the challenges in the development of innovative drugs? The industry suggests focusing on internationalization.
① The year 2024 will be the inaugural year of large-scale authorized trade, and going abroad has become an important direction for the development of local pharmaceutical companies; ② Chinese企业品牌, clinical trial capabilities, data presentation formats, and levels of international operation still need time and practical verification.
Market bullish stimulus boosts Hong Kong pharmaceutical stocks, with Genshuo Niaoyao rising over 14%.
① What bullish impacts does the medical insurance centralized procurement have on pharmaceutical companies? ② How do institutions view the subsequent development of pharmaceutical stocks?
China Securities Co.,Ltd.: In the 2024 version of the medical insurance catalog, the number of innovative drugs added has reached a new high, balancing 'ensuring basic coverage' and 'supporting genuine innovation'.
Overall situation of the 2024 medical insurance catalog: the results are stable, meeting expectations, with a record high in the number of new innovative drugs, reflecting a balanced consideration of fund safety, public medical needs, and support for innovation.
National medical insurance drug list unveiling soon! Keji Pharmaceutical's stock surged over 9%, leading the way in Hong Kong pharmaceutical stocks.
1. What is the importance of centralized procurement of pharmaceutical companies by medical insurance? 2. Which areas of products are expected to be included in the 2024 National Medical Insurance Drug Catalog?
Hong Kong stocks are moving differently | Most pharmaceutical stocks are rising as the results of the medical insurance negotiations are about to be revealed. Institutions indicate that the sector still has further room for recovery.
Most pharmaceutical stocks are rising, as of the deadline, Keji Pharmaceutical-B (02171) rose by 12.38%, to 7.71 Hong Kong dollars; innocare (09969) rose by 5.36%, to 6.49 Hong Kong dollars; Kainuo Ya-B (02162) rose by 4.3%, to 41.25 Hong Kong dollars.
Bullish market stimulation boosts Hong Kong healthcare stocks, causing Lai Kai Pharmaceuticals to surge over 18%.
①What bullish news about pharmaceutical stocks has recently been announced in the market? ②How do institutions view the subsequent performance of pharmaceutical stocks?
Will the indications of GLP-1 drugs expand to the field of PCOS? The era of three targets is about to arrive? | Industry Observation
①At the GLP-1 Drug Seminar (Chengdu session), participants discussed the global trend of GLP-1 drug research and development. ②Participants mentioned that the indications for GLP-1 drugs in the future may expand to areas such as PCOS and stroke. ③Drugs targeting GLP, GCG, and GIP receptors are beginning to rise.
The new policy of prepayment of medical insurance fund has been released, and the pharmaceutical sector has ushered in a sharp rise. Experts believe it may be a way for medical institutions to release funding pressure.
On the 11th, the "Notice on Prepayment of Medical Insurance Fund" was issued, requiring the unified and improved basic medical insurance fund prepayment system at the national level. Experts believe that the prepayment system can effectively alleviate the problem of pharmaceutical industry debt, accelerate the turnover of funds for pharmaceutical companies. The medical sector showed a significant upward trend today, with listed companies attributing the rise to investor sentiment.
Multiple bullish factors boost pharmaceutical Hong Kong stocks. Institutions say they still face this risk in the short term.
①What are the policy measures to support the field of innovative drugs? ②What unfavorable effects on domestic pharmaceutical stocks might Trump's election bring about?
Hong Kong stock concept tracking | The end of medical insurance negotiations is very encouraging for innovative drugs to be included in medical insurance at reasonable prices (with concept stocks)
The on-site negotiation and bidding stages for the adjustment of the national medical insurance pharmaceutical catalog in 2024 officially ended recently.
Historically the most 'competitive'? The Tenth Batch of National Procurement Pharmaceutical Catalog Is Officially Announced with one type having up to 31 companies competing.
①This afternoon, the National Pharmaceutical Joint Procurement Office officially announced the tenth batch of nationally purchased pharmaceutical catalog, with a total of 263 specifications and 62 varieties; ②Several industry insiders have stated that the tenth batch of national procurement will be the largest and most competitive national procurement in history.
zheshang: Continuous realization of technological innovation upgrade driving the continuous improvement of performance expectations for innovative drugs and industry chain.
The commercialization period of innovative drugs in the industry chain, driven purely by incremental value, is entering the phase of realization. The scarce incremental prosperity of the pharmaceutical sector continues to rise, with increasing international competitiveness, and there is still room for upward valuation.
Hong Kong healthcare stocks receive attention from investors again, with Trifolium Biotech surging nearly 15%.
①What is the impact of medical insurance negotiations on pharmaceutical stocks? ②What are the reasons for the rise of Tri Clover Biopharmaceutical and Yimington Corporation?
The tenth batch of national procurement reporting documents have been leaked, industry insiders: does not represent the final list of centralized procurement varieties. The competition intensity will reach new heights.
①A document of the tenth batch of national procurement reporting catalog has circulated within the industry. Today, when the reporter verified with the relevant department, they indicated that it is an internal document not for public release, and the formal joint procurement document will be released publicly later. ②Several industry experts have provided feedback to the reporter, stating that this reporting catalog does not represent the final procurement catalog. However, the competitive landscape of the tenth batch of national procurement will involve at least seven companies. ③The competition for the tenth batch of national procurement will be exceptionally fierce.
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