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The surplus situation is difficult to change, and the price of lithium carbonate continues to decline! How long can the cost line of 0.08 million yuan/ton last?
Approaching the cost line
Soochow Securities: domestic forklift lithium battery short delivery advantage can be sustained, bullish on increasing market share and structural optimization for going abroad.
In 2024, under the trend of tightening eco-friendly policies, the stock of National IV diesel vehicles will replace National II and below diesel vehicles, and the penetration rate of high-value lithium electric forklifts will increase. Domestic sales are expected to continue to grow, optimizing the structure.
The contradiction between supply and demand is prominent! The price of lithium carbonate continues to fall, and the cost line of 80,000 yuan/ton is in danger.
Due to oversupply and continuous insufficient demand, the price of lithium carbonate has been falling steadily in the recent period.
GGII: China's energy storage PCS shipment volume in the first half of the year was 24 GW, and it is expected to reach 52 GW for the whole year.
According to research statistics from the GGII Institute of High-Tech Industrialization, the PCS shipment of China's energy storage is expected to reach 24GW in the first half of 2024, with an estimated full-year shipment of 52GW.
Guotou Securities: production and sales volume increased year-on-year, lithium concentrate prices under pressure.
As global lithium mining exploration and production projects are gradually completed and put into operation, the continuous increase in resources has led to stable growth in production and sales of mining companies. However, the continuous decline in sales prices has further boosted sales while dragging down the company's performance.
Sodium-electric and semi-solid, half flame and half seawater | Jianzhi Research
Thanks to the new energy autos achieving a record high in delivery, the production, sales and installation volume of power batteries also hit a new high in June this year in all dimensions.
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