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This week, did the Bank of Japan raise interest rates and Trump’s inauguration impact Japanese stocks? Bank of America: Most of the bad news has already been priced in.
Bank of America believes that the USA interest rates and the Bank of Japan's rate hikes have mostly been priced in, with the policies of the Trump administration being the biggest uncertainty. In the most optimistic scenario, all bad news will be fully accounted for this week. Even if there is a pullback, the rise in long-term interest rates in the USA will pause, and strong corporate earnings, significant pay raises during the 'spring battle,' and corporate reforms will drive Japanese stocks to continue rising over the next two months.
The Nikkei average rebounded significantly, temporarily recovering to 39,000 yen, but caution regarding Trump 2.0 weighed heavily.
On the 17th, the US stock market rebounded. The Dow Inc rose by 334.70 points to 43,487.83, while the Nasdaq closed 291.91 points higher at 19,630.20. In addition to the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) upward revision of global and domestic economic growth forecasts for 2025, optimistic views on the economy were spreading due to the better-than-expected number of housing starts and industrial production in December, leading to a rise after the opening. With the presidential inauguration set for the 20th, there are expectations for regulatory easing by the next administration and support measures for businesses and the economy.
NINTENDO CO LTD - continued decline, as expectations for the new Game Console have been somewhat factored in, leading to a downgrade by a U.S. securities firm.
Continued decline. Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities has downgraded its investment rating from "overweight" to "equal weight," while leaving the Target Price at 9,800 yen. Although there has been no change in the outlook for performance expansion due to Switch 2, it seems to determine that the stock price has somewhat incorporated these expectations. They would like to monitor the expected release in June-July and subsequent sell-through to explore whether there is an opportunity to turn back to a positive stance.
TBS HD, NTV HD, etc. (additional) Rating
Upgraded - Bullish Code Name Securities Company Previous Changes After --------------------------------------------------------- <5110> Sumitomo Rubbers City "2" "1" Downgraded - Bearish Code Name Securities Company Previous Changes After --------------------------------------------------------- <7974> NINTENDO CO LTD Morgan Stanley "Overweight" "Equal Weight"
Toyota Industries, Asahi Kasei, etc. [List of stocks and materials from the newspaper]
* Nidec Corporation Sponsored ADR <6594> Maki No TOB, concerns in the Chinese mold industry, impact on supply balance (Nikkan Kogyo, page 1) - ○ * Toyota Industries <6201> aims for 7 times solar power, plans for Tahahama factory by 2035, also considering perovskite (Nikkan Kogyo, page 1) - ○ * Rohm <6963> appoints Mr. Higashi as president, structural reform without shying away from 'pain' (Nikkan Kogyo, page 3) - ○ * Honda <7267> plans to invest 15 billion yen in human resources over 5 years, recruitment of engineers and retraining of overseas talent (Nikkan Kogyo, page 3) - ○ * Mitsubishi Corporation <8058> partnership with JOGMEC and synthesis.
List of converted stocks (Part 2) [List of converted stocks for Parabolic Signal]
○ List of stocks transitioning to Sell Market Code Stock Name Final Price SAR Main Board <1605> INPEX 1971 2015 <1662> Petroleum Resources 11561189 <167A> Ryosan Rihyo 25222607 <1813> Fudo Tetra 20872194 <1871> PS 11691198 <1942> Kansai Electric 23072447 <2305> Studio Alice 209421
