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How do you view the recent "hawkish" stance of the Bank of Japan executives? Goldman Sachs: The next interest rate hike may still have to wait until January next year.
Goldman Sachs believes that when evaluating the timing of interest rate hikes, it is important to consider financial market stability and inflation trends. The bank predicts that January next year will be the best time to determine whether Japan's inflation will rebound, and based on this, determine that Japan will raise interest rates in January. However, if there is significant turmoil in the financial markets, the timing of the rate hike may become uncertain.
After the hawkish remarks of central bank officials, hedge funds are betting on further appreciation of the yen.
Hedge funds are increasing their call bets on the yen in the options market, expecting the yen to continue its upward trend this quarter.
The selling pressure from the high yen and selling off before the 3-day weekend is a burden.
The Nikkei average fell. It ended trading at 36,581.76 yen, down 251.51 yen (with an approximate volume of 1.73 billion30 million shares). Buying took the lead from the start based on the rise of major stock price indices in the previous day's US market, and the Nikkei average rose to 36,887.40 yen just after the start of trading. However, as buying did not continue and the yen rose to the 140 yen range against the dollar, selling increased in export-related stocks, leading the Nikkei average to drop to 36,441.34 yen shortly after the start of afternoon trading.
Movement approaching 37,000 yen supported by the rise in US technology stocks.
The Nikkei average marked a significant rebound for the first time in 8 business days, closing at 36,833.27 yen, up 1,213.50 yen (with a estimated volume of 1.86 billion shares traded). Following the trend of buying tech stocks in the US market the previous day, as well as a temporary halt in the strengthening of the yen, a broad range of stocks saw buying interest at the start. Additionally, after a decline of over 3,000 yen over the previous 7 business days, the market was supported by bargain-hunting for autonomous rebounds. In the afternoon session, leverage-type listed investment trusts saw increased activity.
The yen's appreciation has become a burden, and it has been a month since it reached the 35,000 yen level.
The Nikkei average continued to decline for 7 business days. It closed at 35,619.77 yen, down 539.39 yen (volume approximately 1.930 million shares), ending the trading day in the 35,000 yen range for the first time in about a month since August 9th. Amid the yen's movement to around 141 yen to the dollar for the first time in about 8 months, selling pressure led to a wide range of stocks, especially export-related stocks. Furthermore, in the afternoon, concerns about performance led to renewed selling as the yen strengthened to around 140 yen to the dollar. The Nikkei average widened its decline towards the end of the afternoon session, temporarily dropping to 352.
BoJ's Nagakawa: Japan's Economy on Track Based on Data Out Since Previous Meeting in July
