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The trend is strong, with buying on dips taking the lead, but the upper limit may face resistance.
[Emerging Markets Individual Stock Strategy] Today's emerging markets are expected to have a firm performance. In the US stock market on the 22nd, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rebounded for the first time in three days, with an increase of 127.91 dollars (+0.32%) to 40,415.44 dollars. After opening, it rose due to the easing of uncertainty following the withdrawal of President Biden from the election campaign. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was boosted by the purchase based on the assumption of a victory by former President Trump, but it temporarily declined and then stabilized due to the support of high-tech stocks. The Nasdaq recovered on the purchase from a sense of value.
Pay attention to the movements of Biotechnology which fell sharply over the weekend and the battle of the 200-day moving average in the Growth 250 Index.
- Pay attention to whether the emerging markets can maintain the level of the 200-day moving average this week, which seems to be more stable than the prime market, which is shaken by former President Trump's words and actions. We want to pay attention to whether both the Tokyo Growth Market Index and the Tokyo Growth 250 Index can maintain the level of the 200-day moving average. Although the Russell 2000 index, which was a stimulus material for the current emerging markets, has stopped rising, we believe that the small and mid-cap stocks will continue to be strong in the US market compared to the major stock price indices such as NY Dow and Nasdaq. - Focus of buying
Emerging market outlook: Pay attention to the battle of the growth 250 index on the 200-day line and the trend of the bio-related stock that plummeted over the weekend.
Despite the dominance of buying, emerging markets saw a slight decline on a weekly basis. During the same period, while the Nikkei Average fell by -2.74%, the growth market index fell by -0.10% and the growth market 250 index fell by -0.21%, making the emerging markets a steady market. After the holidays, the Russell 2000 index, which is composed mainly of small and medium-sized companies on the US market, continued to rise, which stimulated buying of leading stocks in the growth market and bio-related stocks. Tokyo Stock Exchange
Emerging market split candidate stocks [Emerging market split candidate stocks]
Code Company Name <6026> GMO TECH <4011> Headwaters <4894> Qualipps <4051> GMO-FG <192A> InteG <3496> Azum <4417> Global Security <5254> Aren't <4393> Bank of Innovations
The Growth Market 250 Index continues to battle the 75-day line, with interest turning to recent IPOs.
Expectations for a fresh start: This week, the emerging markets are expected to have a solid footing, as they dealt with profit-taking sales for short-term price increases. In the prime market this week, there is an expectation of over one trillion yen in sell-offs related to the earnings of listed ETFs. Although it is considered to be factored into the market to some extent, it may be a psychological burden due to last week's significant increase. As a result, there is a possibility of cyclical searches in the emerging markets. In the first half of last week, emerging markets underwent profit-taking.
Emerging markets outlook: Will the growth market 250 index continue to battle the 75-day line and shift focus to recent IPOs?
Trading volume stagnated in the market led by large cap shareholders and the emerging market fell this week. During the same period, while the Nikkei Stock Average increased by +3.36%, the growth market index and growth market 250 index decreased by -0.56% and -0.57%, respectively, making the emerging markets dominated by the main board. Funds continued to flow toward financial stocks and precision instrument stocks in the main board market, and on July 4, the Nikkei Stock Average and TOPIX both reached the highest level in history. The market capitalization of the main board market also reached a record high of 1000 for the first time.
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