DJIA 42000MBeCW241220 (51AW) Stock Forum and Discussion

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51AW DJIA 42000MBeCW241220

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BullnBearTrading

1 hour ago

U.S. Has Conducted $800 Billion QE Equivalent, Equivalent to Four Rate Cuts?

Yellen refuted "Dr. Doom" claims that the Treasury manipulated U.S. debt, asserting there was no such strategy.
In a recent paper, "Dr. Doom" Roubini argues that the aggressive issuance of U.S. Treasury bonds over the past year has created a long-term coupon debt gap exceeding $800 billion, effectively equating to a 100 basis point rate cut, offsetting last year's rate hikes.
Wall Street's major banks generally hold an...

Mixed US data ahead of FOMC meeting: Can we expect first rate cut in September?

areecep

3 hours ago

Talking about substantial number of rate cuts is ‘premature,’ Torsten Slok says

Apollo’s Torsten Slok still thinks that discussion around more interest rate cuts in the future is “premature” following Friday’s PCE report.
“At the end of the day, if the strength of the economy is still running the risk here that we might get another … flare up or more tailwinds to the economic outlook, then I do think it’s premature to take out the champagne bottle and begin to talk about a dramatic amount of rat...

Mixed US data ahead of FOMC meeting: Can we expect first rate cut in September?

BullnBearTrading

3 hours ago

Wall Street Prepares for Next U.S. Debt Ceiling Standoff, Treasury to Announce TGA Official Estimate

The U.S. Treasury will release federal borrowing and cash balance estimates for September and Q4 on Monday, which could indicate how much cash the Treasury needs to reduce before the debt ceiling is reinstated on January 2. A larger cash reserve means the Treasury can maintain its debt supply, while a smaller reserve will require reduced debt issuance.
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Mixed US data ahead of FOMC meeting: Can we expect first rate cut in September?

areecep

4 hours ago

Fed’s preferred inflation gauge matches expectations

The personal consumption expenditures price index rose 0.1% month over month and 2.5% from a year ago in June, matching estimates from economists polled by Dow Jones. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, gained 0.2% for the month and 2.6% on the year, also in line with expectations.
$Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ $iShares Core S&P 500 ETF(IVV.US)$ $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$

Mixed US data ahead of FOMC meeting: Can we expect first rate cut in September?

BullnBearTrading

4 hours ago

U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Hits Eight-Month Low, Continues to Be Dragged Down by High Prices

Consumer sentiment has been declining since Q1, reflecting high living costs and borrowing costs leading to pessimism about personal financial conditions. Although inflation is cooling, wage growth remains modest, and many Americans have depleted their pandemic-era savings.
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index(.VIX.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF(SQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF(TQQQ.US)$

Mixed US data ahead of FOMC meeting: Can we expect first rate cut in September?

whqqq

5 hours ago

What To Expect in the Markets This Week

Coming up: Fed rate decision, jobs report, earnings from Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta
Monday, July 29
Dallas Federal Reserve manufacturing index (July) McDonald’s, ON Semiconductor (ON), Equity Residential (EQR), and SBA Communications (SBAC) report earnings
Tuesday, July 30
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index (May)
Consumer Confidence (June)
Job openings (June)
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting begins
$Microsoft(MSFT.US)$, $Procter & Gamble(PG.US)$ , Merck, ...

Mixed US data ahead of FOMC meeting: Can we expect first rate cut in September?

areecep

5 hours ago

Friday’s moves stem from a combination of oversold sentiment, a stronger-than-expected GDP report Thursday and the view that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting rates due to economic resilience, said CFRA Research’s Sam Stovall.
“Today’s benign PCE report helped talk the market off the ledge,” he added. “With this pullback, the great rotation lives on and breadth continues to be on our side.”
Wall Street also assessed June’s personal consumption expenditures price index, an inflation readin...

Mixed US data ahead of FOMC meeting: Can we expect first rate cut in September?

BullnBearTrading

5 hours ago

Caution Against Major Market Reversals Globally

The reversal of "recession trades" and "arbitrage trades" are the two main logics, with some analysts also attributing it to the "Trump trade" impact and high market expectations. Last week's major moves included sharp gains in the yen and renminbi, while the Nasdaq and AI stocks plunged. Popular trades with "foolish valuation levels" seem to be unwinding. The yen's movements this week are crucial, with the Bank of Japan and Fed rate decisions guidi...

Biden drops out of presidential race: How will markets react?

BullnBearTrading

6 hours ago

U.S. June Core PCE Price Index Rises 2.6% YoY, Slightly Above Expectations, Lowest Since March 2021

June Core PCE Price Index(YoY): 2.6%, [Est. 2.5%, Prev. 2.6%]
June Core PCE Price Index(MoM): 0.2%, [Est. 0.2%, Prev. 0.1%]
June PCE Prices Index(YoY): 2.5%, [Est. 2.5%, Prev. 2.6%]
June PCE Prices Index(MoM): 0.1%, [Est. 0.1%, Prev. 0.0%]
The Fed's preferred inflation measure, core PCE, reached its lowest level in over three years, with overall inflation at a five-month low.
June personal income ...

Mixed US data ahead of FOMC meeting: Can we expect first rate cut in September?

BullnBearTrading

6 hours ago

Market Overview

U.S. inflation boosted rate cut expectations, with U.S. stocks rising over 1% across the board last Friday. $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ and $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ halted a three-day losing streak but still marked two consecutive weeks of losses for the first time in three months. $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$ posted its first four-week gain in two months. Small-cap indice rose 3.5% for the week, marking a three-week gain streak. During earnings week, $Tesla(TSLA.US)$...

Mixed US data ahead of FOMC meeting: Can we expect first rate cut in September?

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