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Why did long-term U.S. Treasury rates rise despite the interest rate cuts? | Moomoo Research
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by another 50 basis points in November? The 2-year US bond yield hits a two-year low.
1. The US two-year Treasury bond yield fell further to its lowest level in over two years during the Asian session on Wednesday; 2. An indicator measuring consumer confidence slipped overnight on Tuesday, further enhancing expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut at the next Fed meeting.
Treasury Yields Fall on Declining U.S. Consumer Confidence -- Market Talk
US 2-Year Auction High Yield Falls From Previous Month, Demand Declines
Treasury Yields Have Small Gains Ahead of U.S. Data -- Market Talk
Treasury Yields Nudge Higher as Investors Assess Growth Outlook
Deutsche Bank Cuts Forecasts for U.S. Treasury Yields
The Fed's interest rate cut may not necessarily be bullish! Bank of America warns that the risk of a bubble resurgence, and recommends buying bonds and gold.
The excitement of the stock market intensified the bubble risk after the Fed cut interest rates, making bonds and gold an attractive tool to hedge against economic recession or rising inflation.
Tianfeng Securities: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points. How should we view the domestic bond market?
However, considering that the fundamentals and policies determine that the direction of interest rates has not changed, it seems unnecessary to take profit even if domestic interest rate cuts are implemented.
Treasury Yields Just Shy of Two-week Highs Amid Optimism on the U.S. Economy
One word sets off the global market, Powell said it ten times!
"Recalibration" of the cost-cutting of 50 basis points is the latest interpretation, igniting market risk appetite and boosting the rise of small cap stocks. However, there are opposing voices that believe the 50 basis point rate cut is mainly to address economic recession. If the subsequent economic deterioration forces the Fed to cut rates more aggressively, can we still use "recalibration" as an excuse?
Rate Cuts Globally Increase Appeal of Bonds to Long-Term Investors
Has the Fed's interest rate cut come too late? "Bond King" Gundlach: The US economy may already be in a recession.
Although the US stock market is delighted by the significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, "bond king" Jeff Gundlach still believes that the Fed's interest rate cut came too late; Gundlach believes that the continuously increasing number of unemployed in the United States indicates that the US economy has entered a recession.
The Nasdaq surged, defensive stocks stagnated, long-term bonds fell, and the Federal Reserve ignited market risk appetite in the United States.
The overnight US Treasury bond trend is divergent, with the 2/10-year Treasury yield curve reaching its steepest level since June 2022. The reason is that the Federal Reserve significantly cut interest rates by 50 basis points, boosting inflation expectations, increasing the risk premium for long-term bond investments, and causing prices to fall accordingly; while short-term bonds are more attractive due to higher nominal yields.
US Securities Held Outright by Fed Decline on Treasury Securities
The interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has become the focus of the market again, with the narrative of the US economy's soft landing.
This week, the Federal Reserve held its most important meeting in recent history, with all investors' attention focused on one question: Did the Federal Reserve initiate a timely rate-cutting cycle to prevent the economy from slowing down too quickly?
Loose cycle begins! Take history as a lesson: There is a hidden connection between FED interest rate adjustments and election results.
①There is less than 7 weeks until the November 5th election. ②When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the party in control of the White House has lost 5 out of 6 elections.
China and Japan, the two major creditors, reduced their holdings of US bonds in July: China's total holdings decreased by nearly 40 billion US dollars this year.
On Wednesday (September 19th) local time, the US Treasury Department released the Treasury International Capital (TIC) report for July 2024. The report shows that the scale of US Treasury bonds held by foreign investors reached a new high in July. However, Japan and China, the two largest foreign 'creditors' of the United States, both chose to reduce their holdings.
Bond Market Gets a Fed Wake-Up Call After Pricing in a Recession
Treasury Yields End at One- or Two-year Lows as Fed Rate Cut Looms