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The Pacific Securities 2025 Banks industry strategy: dividends, risk improvement, and pro-cyclical drivers to hedge against margin pressure.
In the future, with the improvement of risk expectations and the continued focus on Market Cap management, the Banks Sector is expected to welcome a revaluation.
Those Who Invested in Jiangsu Changshu Rural Commercial Bank (SHSE:601128) a Year Ago Are up 28%
Orient: The overall impact on banks' interest margins is manageable. In 2025, focus on improving risk expectations and the main line of recovery.
We are currently entering a period of intensive implementation of stable growth policies, with an expansion of mmf leading the way, followed closely by fiscal expansion, and a significant acceleration in local debts, profoundly impacting the fundamentals of banks in 2025.
gf sec: Fiscal issuance expenditures have entered an accelerated phase. In 2025, the banking sector is transitioning from asset scarcity to recovery trade.
With incremental fiscal policies being implemented, a strong round of fiscal expansion is expected from Q4 2024 to Q2 2025, which will drive improvements in corporate profits and market expectations.
Guosen: In the short term, investment in the banks industry emphasizes certainty, and there are bullish opportunities for medium to long-term layouts.
During this round of market trends, the banking sector will also usher in relatively good investment opportunities, but it may take time to wait until the private investment demand recovers before there will be both excess returns and absolute returns.
China Securities Co., Ltd. banks industry 2025 investment strategy report: Policy intensification leads to a gradual recovery, focusing on different bank investment themes under different scenarios.
The actual macroeconomic indicators are still in the process of gradual recovery, and the banks sector is in a context of "strong policy expectations and weak fundamental realities." Depending on the different performances of the future economy, the banks sector will each have different investment themes.