Australia is about to release the CPI for the second quarter, and whether the Reserve Bank of Australia will raise interest rates in August depends on it!
The inflation data released on July 31st in Australia may significantly affect policy expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia meeting on August 6th. Recently, the RBA stated that the bank remains vigilant about the upward risks of inflation. If CPI data for the second quarter rises, this could break the balance and force the RBA to act. The strong market opinion is that if there is a rate hike, it will be the most reluctant rate hike in history, and a reversal may occur in the second quarter of 2025.
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