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Three points to watch in next week's market: Governor Ueda's speech at the Bank of Japan, key opinions in the December Bank of Japan meeting, and the US Consumer Confidence Index.
■Financial Estimates for Stock Market Outlook Range: Upper limit 39,500 yen - Lower limit 38,000 yen. On the 20th, the U.S. stock market rose. The Dow Inc. average closed at 42,840.26 dollars, up 498.02 dollars from the previous day, and the Nasdaq finished trading at 19,572.60, up 199.83 points. The Osaka Night Session's Nikkei 225 Futures ended trading at 38,880 yen, up 170 yen from the day session closing price. In the foreign exchange market, the dollar-yen exchange rate was trading around 156.40 yen per dollar. The last major event of the year is the Japan-U.S. central bank meetings.
Domestic Stocks market outlook: After the important events in Japan and the United States, the market is expected to be centered around individual investors.
The Nikkei average fell by 768.54 yen (-1.95%) to 38,701.90 yen this week, influenced by a sharp drop in U.S. stocks caused by a "hawkish" rate cut. Amid a strong mood to gauge the results of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting held by the U.S. Federal Reserve on the 17th and 18th, and the monetary policy meeting by the Bank of Japan on the 18th and 19th, Japanese stocks also experienced a slight decline in response to the steep drop in U.S. stocks. The FOMC cut rates by 0.25% as expected.
Emerging Markets outlook: Attention may turn towards lightly traded ultra-low-priced stocks and biotech-related stocks.
■ Emerging Markets are left out of the investment choices. This week, Emerging Markets declined. During the same period, the Nikkei average fell by -1.95%, while the Growth Market Index fell by -2.67%, and the Growth Market 250 Index fell by -3.09%, indicating that Emerging Markets were relatively weaker. As attention turns to the central bank meetings in Japan and the United States, reports of Nissan <7201> and Honda <7267> beginning discussions on a management integration have redirected interest towards auto stocks and Auto Parts suppliers in the Main Board, leaving Emerging Markets out of the investment picture.
ADR Japanese stock ranking ~ Japan Post and others generally showing a slight buy advantage, Chicago is 175 yen higher than Osaka at 38,885 yen ~
Japanese stocks for ADR (American Depositary Receipt), compared to the Tokyo Stock Exchange (calculated at 156.15 yen per dollar), include Japan Post Holdings <6178>, Tokyo Electron <8035>, Toyota Industries <6201>, Honda Motor Co. <7267>, Mitsui & Co. <8031>, Disco <6146>, SoftBank Group <9984>, etc. The stocks that rose include Japan Post Bank <7182>, Seven & I Holdings <3382>, Mitsubishi Corporation <8058>, Nidec <6594>, Kddi Corporation <9433>, JAPAN TOBACCO INC <29.
The NY market rose on the 20th [NY market - close].
[NYDow·NASDAQ·CME (Table)] NYDOW; 42840.26; +498.02 NASDAQ; 19572.60; +199.83 CME225; 38885; +175 (Compared to the Osaka Exchange) [NY Market Data] The NY market on the 20th rose. The Dow average increased by 498.02 points to 42,840.26 dollars, and the Nasdaq closed 199.83 points higher at 19,572.60. Although some technology stocks faced selling pressure first and dropped at the opening,
Top Gap Ups and Downs on Friday: NVO, BABA, INFY and More
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