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Emerging markets outlook: Will the search for interlude stocks continue, or will funds flow towards core stocks?
This week, large cap stocks on the main board are being actively traded while the emerging markets are on the rise. During the same period, the Nikkei average showed a decline of -0.20%, whereas the growth market index rose by +0.51% and the Growth Market 250 index increased by +0.91%, highlighting the strength of the emerging markets. In the USA, expectations for an interest rate cut at the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting have strengthened, while in japan, expectations for an interest rate hike at the December monetary policy decision meeting of the Bank of Japan have increased, leading to a heightened awareness of the narrowing interest rate gap between japan and the USA.
Overview of the TOPIX Growth Market 250 Index futures: Decline due to rotation and position adjustments.
On November 22, the Tokyo Stock Exchange Growth Market 250 index futures were down 4 points from the previous trading day at 630 points. The high was 637 points, the low was 629 points, and the intraday trading volume was 2,785 contracts. The Dow Inc. average in the U.S. market continued to rise on the previous day, November 21. Geopolitical risk concerns eased, leading to an increase after the opening. Chicago Federal Reserve President Goolsbee indicated that next year's interest rates would "likely be below current levels," which led to buying on expectations of lower future interest rates and boosted the market. The Nasdaq struggled due to rising long-term interest rates but showed some resilience.
Volume change rate ranking (13:00) - Milbon, Ascle, etc. ranked.
※The volume change rate ranking allows us to understand the trends in market participants' interests by comparing the average volume over the last 5 days with the volume on the day of distribution. ■ Top volume change rates [As of November 18, 13:32] (Comparison of average volume over the last 5 days) Code ⇒ Stock ⇒ Volume ⇒ 5-day average volume ⇒ Volume change rate ⇒ Stock price change rate <3191> joyy inc. american depositary shares 1092900 114956.98 298.87% -0.1139% <9229> Sunwells 94784
Focus on the analysis of earnings reports of main businesses, advancing and retreating alternately.
Last week's overview from November 11th to November 15th, the TSE Growth Index reached a high of 637.97, a low of 621.68, and a closing price of 625.95, a weekly decrease of -0.15%. It was a back and forth movement, with a focus on earnings reports from main board companies. Concerns about trade friction in the policies of the upcoming Trump administration weighed on the main board market, but emerging markets with a focus on domestic demand stocks remained relatively strong. There was active stock picking centered around earnings reports from main board companies, leading to an increase in trading volume since November 13th.
Outlook for emerging markets: After the earnings reports, trading volumes may decrease, and the direction of the index etf is weak, focusing on individual selections.
Focus on earnings reports was active this week in the emerging markets, which saw a decline. During the same period, while the Nikkei average was -2.17%, the Growth Market Index was -0.28% and the Growth Market 250 Index was -0.15%, resulting in a hesitant decline in the emerging markets. Concerns about increasing trade friction due to the policies of the upcoming Trump administration weighed on the main board market, but the emerging markets, which have many domestic demand stocks, remained relatively steady. The active trading focused on major earnings reports.
TOPIX Growth Market 250 Index futures overview: Buying interest strengthened on dips, leading to a slight rebound.
On November 15, the Tokyo Stock Exchange Growth Market 250 index futures rose by 1 point from the previous trading day to 620 points. The high was 621 points, the low was 611 points, and the intraday trading volume was 3,207 contracts. In the US market on the previous day, November 14, the Dow Inc average declined. Although the decline in long-term interest rates was positively received, the October Producer Price Index (PPI) confirmed persistent inflation, and the number of initial jobless claims indicated strength in the labor market, leading to a reversal in long-term interest rate trends and a subsequent drop in the market.
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