What does the Federal Reserve's "Skip" mean for the market?
Citi Research found that during the period when the Federal Reserve pauses interest rate cuts, the U.S. stock market usually performs well, but the sustainability of the rise depends on whether economic weakness leads to a restart of policy easing; U.S. Treasury rates usually rise at the pause or end of the cycle; for the dollar, if the interest rate cuts are only paused, the dollar performs laterally, if it is the last interest rate cut, the dollar will rise; after the pause, regardless of whether the easing cycle continues, Gold prices usually rise.
After long-term bonds fell below 2%, insurance funds shifted towards equity assets, with high dividend and high ROE being the top choices.
Recently, the yield on 30-year government bonds has fallen below 2.0%. Guosen believes that the central tendency of long-term bond rates continues to decline, and the pressure on investment income from insurance funds is further increasing. Since the beginning of this year, companies represented by Great Wall Life, China Pacific Insurance, and Ruizhong Life have been increasing their stakes in high-quality listed companies, mainly concentrated in industries such as utilities, transportation, and Banks, which have high dividend yields and relatively stable ROE levels.
Financial Association Autos Morning News [December 23]
① Zhengzhou: The proportion of synchronized construction of electric vehicle charging facilities in Residences has been increased from the original 10% to 30%; ② Chang'an Zhuhua Rong: The company will invest over 20 billion yuan in the low-altitude economy sector over the next five years; ③ NIO's third brand, Firefly, officially launched and will be released in April 2025;
The HSBC HOLDINGS Manufacturing PMI for December is 57.4, exceeding the previous month.
In December, India's HSBC HOLDINGS Manufacturing PMI was 57.4, exceeding the previous month's figure. The December HSBC HOLDINGS Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI, preliminary) stood at 57.4, surpassing last month's 56.5. Additionally, the HSBC HOLDINGS Services PMI for the same month rose to 60.8 from last month's 58.4. The Ministry of Finance recently indicated that the economic slowdown in the July-September period was temporary and that the growth rate would accelerate again in the second half of fiscal year 2024.
Three insurance companies have been approved to issue bonds worth 39 billion. Insurance companies have replenished a total of 117.5 billion yuan this year, slightly exceeding last year's total.
① On the same day, the Financial Regulatory Bureau disclosed that the perpetual bonds or capital supplement bonds issued by Ping An Life, China Postal Insurance, and China United Property Insurance have been approved, with a cumulative approved issuance scale not exceeding 39 billion yuan; ② The demand for "blood replenishment" in the Insurance Industry remains significant within the year. As of December 20, the cumulative issuance scale of capital supplement bonds and perpetual bonds by Insurance Institutions has reached 117.5 billion yuan, slightly higher than the total for last year.
Investing in Hong Kong, Alibaba has arrived! Alibaba's Entrepreneur Fund has established a 0.15 billion dollar AI Fund.
① Alibaba's Entrepreneur Fund announced the establishment of an AI Fund, amounting to 0.15 billion USD, primarily covering Industries where AI can be deeply applied. ② Almost at the same time, ByteDance founder Zhang Yiming also arrived, and his investment Institutions officially acquired Hong Kong's No. 9 license to start investing in the AI field. ③ This year, Hong Kong ranks eighth among the top ten regions globally in terms of total financing for AI enterprises.
狼人虎 : Omg so Bidu will continue go down?