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Are Global Henry Hub Natural Gas prices about to rise? A significant increase in import volume is anticipated for Europe's summer procurement.
① Europe is experiencing a cold wave this year, coupled with the cessation of Henry Hub Natural Gas transit through Ukraine, leading to a drop in the region's natural gas inventory to 37%, far below the 60% of the previous two years; ② It is estimated that Europe needs to import an additional 250 batches of liquefied natural gas to replenish inventories to 90% before November; ③ On the other hand, the International Energy Agency warns that the liquefied natural gas market will continue to be tight this year, which will strongly support natural gas prices.
CITIC SEC: Changes in Consumer structure, the gas Industry returns to the right track while urban gas growth is moderate.
Looking ahead to 2025, the recovery of traditional demand and the "one city, one enterprise" policy are expected to drive a moderate increase in the sales volume of leading city gas companies. The recovery of gross margins and the growth in gas volume will help city gas performance regain growth, while leading city gas companies' valuations are generally at historical lows, highlighting the cost-effectiveness of investment.
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