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AMD Slides as HSBC Downgrades on Nvidia Worries
The transformation of the Banking Industry in adversity in 2024: the mud and dawn of the "light asset" vision.
How far is dawn?
Bank of America Upgraded to Buy HSBC, UBS; Truist Raised to Buy at HSBC
On the first trading day of the New Year, Bank stocks opened high and then fell back. Many Institutions: the opening performance may be better than in previous years, but the trend of declining net interest margin remains unchanged.
① The crediting ratio between each quarter is expected to recover to a ratio of 4:3:2:1. ② It is expected that policy trends will continue, gradually boosting demand in the Real Estate sector. ③ This year, the decline in net interest margin for Banks is narrower compared to 2024, with a calculated interest margin of 1.34% under neutral assumptions.
Outperforming 92% of stocks within the year! The four major banks have reached a new high again, and this month they have all faced Shareholding reductions by financing clients.
① Today, the stock prices of the four major banks collectively set new historical highs, with an average increase of nearly 47% this year, outperforming 92% of stocks during the same period. ② Excluding new stocks, a total of 10 stocks reached historical highs today, most of which are CNI Mid-Small Cap.Index stocks, with a relatively high number of Transportation stocks. ③ The four major banks have all experienced shareholding reductions by financing clients this month, including the Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China, which has seen a net sell-off of nearly 0.2 billion yuan in financing this month.
After long-term bonds fell below 2%, insurance funds shifted towards equity assets, with high dividend and high ROE being the top choices.
Recently, the yield on 30-year government bonds has fallen below 2.0%. Guosen believes that the central tendency of long-term bond rates continues to decline, and the pressure on investment income from insurance funds is further increasing. Since the beginning of this year, companies represented by Great Wall Life, China Pacific Insurance, and Ruizhong Life have been increasing their stakes in high-quality listed companies, mainly concentrated in industries such as utilities, transportation, and Banks, which have high dividend yields and relatively stable ROE levels.