Everbright Futures: The dollar's upward trend pauses, and gold prices may find support.
On January 6th, COMEX Gold fluctuated during the day, closing at $2647.0 per ounce, down 0.29%. In the domestic SHFE night market, gold first fell and then rose, closing at 625.06 yuan per gram, down 0.35%. On Monday, Trump's aides were discussing imposing tariffs on "all countries," but only covering key imported commodities. Due to the potential narrowing of Trump's tariff plan, market sentiment strengthened, the dollar fell back, and gold prices rebounded. Subsequently, Trump denied plans to reduce tariff intensity, stating that reports regarding universal tariffs on key imported commodities were incorrect. After a sharp rise in Pre-Market Trading of U.S. stocks, there was a sudden drop, and after a significant fall, the dollar quickly rose, leading to another decline in gold prices.
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Pulaishi: Multiple factors support the trend of the US stock market in 2025, and the market focus may no longer be on AI.
According to Plaisir, it is expected that the U.S. stock market will gradually rise in the short term, but factors such as an unstable labor market, uncertainty in the new government's policies, and geopolitical tensions will continue to cause fluctuations in the stock market.
This year, Gold prices have risen about 27%, and UBS Group believes that the same supporting factors for Gold will remain in 2025.
On Monday, Gold prices fell in light trading as the market awaits next week's USA economic data and the potential impact of President Trump's return to the White House on the Federal Reserve's 2025 outlook. UBS Group Analyst Giovanni Staunovo stated, "Due to the holidays, liquidity across all asset classes may be lower, making it a calm day." He added that market participants are focused on the upcoming USA economic data to see if economic growth is slowing, which could lead the Federal Reserve to continue its rate cuts. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell indicated earlier this month that a 25 basis point rate cut is expected in December.
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