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Barclays US LLC Annual Stress Test Results
Barclays strategist: Buy inflation-protected assets to prepare for Trump's victory.
For Barclays interest rate strategists who watched Thursday's US presidential candidate debate, the trade is clear: buy inflation-hedging assets in the US Treasury market. In a report, Barclays strategists Michael Pond and Jonathan Hill said that as the likelihood of former President Donald Trump replacing current President Joe Biden in the November 5 election seems to increase, the market should "factor in the significant risk of above-target inflation rates in the coming years." They wrote that this simple trade is betting that 5-year inflation-protected bonds (TIPS) will outperform conventional 5-year bonds.
How long will the strong US dollar last? Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Short-term continuation of strength, with inflation stickiness determining the trend in the second half of the year.
As the expectation of a Fed rate cut recedes, the USD index has broken through the key level of 106 and returned to an upward trend.
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102322839 : So are they optimistic or pessimistic
BrianjhOP 102322839: pessimistic