The market maintains a rebound structure with fluctuations upward, paying attention to the rotational opportunities within the broad Technology sector.
Track the entire lifecycle of the main sector.
According to the Caixin Venture Capital Report: In December 2024, financing in the Carbon Neutrality sector reached 32.404 billion yuan, an increase of over ten times month-on-month, with the photovoltaic sector being the most active.
According to data from CaiLianShe Venture Capital, there were 96 private equity investment and financing events in the domestic Carbon Neutrality sector in December, an increase of 43.28% from 67 events last month; The total disclosed financing amount is approximately 32.404 billion yuan, an increase of 1091.77% from 2.719 billion yuan last month.
The "cold winter" is not over yet! Industry worries: lithium prices are still difficult to achieve a significant rebound this year.
① After experiencing two years of cyclical adjustments, many industry insiders predict that Lithium prices may still face challenges in 2025; ② With the ongoing surplus in Lithium supply, and the possibility that some mines might restart if prices rise, it means that this Battery Metal may still be unlikely to see a significant rebound this year.
Breaking the "involutionary" competition! The two major photovoltaic leaders announce "production reduction and control of output."
Tongwei Co.,Ltd's subsidiary Yongxiang Co. and Daqo Energy have a total production capacity of over 1.2 million tons. Analysts expect that this production cut will reach at least 0.8 million tons, leading to a significant decline in silicon material output from December to January. Despite the production cut being initiated, the current Industry still faces considerable inventory pressure.
The photovoltaic Industry is currently undergoing a "de-involution"! Tongwei Co.,Ltd and Daqo Energy have both announced production cuts and maintenance.
① Both Tongwei Co.,Ltd and Daqo Energy are signatories of the photovoltaic industry self-discipline agreement. According to the self-discipline agreement, photovoltaic companies will begin to manage production capacity starting next month (January 2025). ② Analysts believe that adjusting the overall industry capacity utilization rate to the Range of 50%-60% can basically match the demand for polysilicon in 2025, preliminarily achieving a supply-demand balance.
In November, China's industrial added value above the designated size increased by 5.4% year-on-year, with New energy Fund, Siasun Robot&Automation, and integrated circuits leading the growth.
From January to November, the added value of large-scale industries grew by 5.8% year-on-year. Among them, the production of New energy Fund vehicles, Siasun Robot&Automation, and integrated circuit products increased by 51.1%, 29.3%, and 8.7% respectively.