Solar Power
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TrendForce Consulting: It is expected that the global photovoltaic new installed capacity will reach 596GW in 2025, an increase of 6.0% year-on-year.
According to TrendForce's data, Global photovoltaic installed capacity has rapidly increased from 113 GW in 2019 to 462 GW in 2023, with an average annual compound growth rate of 42.3%.
Breaking the "involutionary" competition! The two major photovoltaic leaders announce "production reduction and control of output."
Tongwei Co.,Ltd's subsidiary Yongxiang Co. and Daqo Energy have a total production capacity of over 1.2 million tons. Analysts expect that this production cut will reach at least 0.8 million tons, leading to a significant decline in silicon material output from December to January. Despite the production cut being initiated, the current Industry still faces considerable inventory pressure.
The photovoltaic Industry is currently undergoing a "de-involution"! Tongwei Co.,Ltd and Daqo Energy have both announced production cuts and maintenance.
① Both Tongwei Co.,Ltd and Daqo Energy are signatories of the photovoltaic industry self-discipline agreement. According to the self-discipline agreement, photovoltaic companies will begin to manage production capacity starting next month (January 2025). ② Analysts believe that adjusting the overall industry capacity utilization rate to the Range of 50%-60% can basically match the demand for polysilicon in 2025, preliminarily achieving a supply-demand balance.
Pacific Securities: A reversal in the photovoltaic Industry is imminent. Pay attention to three directions.
The Research Reports from The Pacific Securities indicate that with continuous breakthroughs in new markets and new technologies, a new cycle of price parity in solar storage is accelerating its onset, and a reversal in the photovoltaic Industry is imminent, suggesting attention to three directions.
China's Solar Industry Looks to OPEC for Guide to Survival
Hong Kong stock concept tracking | The implementation of photovoltaic quotas is imminent, and the prosperity of various segments in the photovoltaic industry is solidifying at the bottom (including concept stocks).
The main conference of the industry that the market is focusing on 'preventing internal cycle' will be held tomorrow afternoon (5th).
Direct hit on the 2024 annual conference of the photovoltaic industry: focusing on the Middle East and Africa markets. There are both opportunities and challenges for Chinese enterprises to "go global".
① Chinese new energy companies have four advantages in their process of entering the Middle East: the first is technological innovation and production capacity; the second is global layout and market expansion; the third is policy support and market demand; the fourth is cost and economic benefits. ② The African countries most suitable for Chinese photovoltaic investment include South Africa, Egypt, Rwanda, Zimbabwe, and Zambia.
Both supply and demand are expected to decrease. The industry predicts that the price of photovoltaic glass will mainly stabilize in the short term. | Industry Observation
①The photovoltaic glass continues the previous downturn trend, with major manufacturers taking price increase actions, but the upward support is insufficient, and short-term price stability is expected to be the main focus; ②Leading companies indicate that the top two leading positions are still stable, including looking into the future, the change in market structure will not be significant.
China Securities Co., Ltd. Power Equipment New Energy Fund 25-year investment strategy: grasp three types of assets, energy storage dominates the whole year.
china securities co.,ltd. is most bullish on energy storage in the new energy fund sector of the power equipment sector.
Hong Kong stocks moving differently | Most solar stocks opened higher. The industry calls for strict prevention of "involution spillover" within the industry, as anti-involution competition continues to advance.
Most photovoltaic stocks opened higher. As of the time of writing, gcl tech (03800) rose 6.06%, trading at 1.4 Hong Kong dollars; xinte energy (01799) rose 2.84%, trading at 8.32 Hong Kong dollars; flat glass (06865) rose 3.51%, trading at 12.38 Hong Kong dollars; xinyi solar (00968) rose 2.22%, trading at 3.23 Hong Kong dollars.
China Logs 15% Rise in Installed Power Generation in January-October
Zhizhong Hong Kong stocks early knowledge | Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: Guide photovoltaic companies to reduce purely capacity expansion photovoltaic manufacturing projects. nvidia (NVDA.US) fell by as much as 5% after earnings.
On November 20, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a notice revising the "Specification Conditions for the Photovoltaic Manufacturing Industry" and the "Interim Measures for the Management of Announcements for the Photovoltaic Manufacturing Industry".
The fluctuation of the photovoltaic cycle far exceeds the past. Representatives of leading companies suggest considering transformation earlier if things are not going well.
① In the case of a divergence between prices and costs, the photovoltaic industry has fallen into a crisis not seen in recent years, with prices at various stages declining by 60%-80% compared to the peak in 2023; ② Long-term losses are unacceptable in any industry, and with market growth slowing, it has become very difficult to resolve the current capacity issues. This cycle may last longer.
Hong Kong stock market anomaly | Most photovoltaic stocks are rising. The expected reduction in export tax rebates is bullish for the long-term development of the photovoltaic industry. The industry turning point signal is emerging.
Most photovoltaic stocks have risen. As of the time of writing, flat glass (06865) is up 3.99%, trading at 13.04 Hong Kong dollars; xinyi solar (00968) is up 3.77%, trading at 3.3 Hong Kong dollars; xinte energy (01799) is up 2.64%, trading at 8.54 Hong Kong dollars.
A-shares and Hong Kong stocks are up, with the gem rising more than 1%, led by photovoltaics, chips, and non-ferrous metals.
PV concept stocks in A-shares rose at the beginning of the market, Suzhou Good-Ark Electronics hit the limit up, Sungrow Power Supply, Deli Technology rose more than 6%, Ginlong Technologies, Suzhou Maxwell Technologies, and Orise Technology quickly followed the upward trend.
Brokerage Morning Meeting Highlights: The historical bottom of real estate stock valuation may have been established.
At today's brokerage morning meeting, China Securities Co.,Ltd. proposed supply-side optimization, suggesting to focus on industries such as steel, photovoltaic, cement, coal, and rare earths; htsc stated that domestic sales of household appliances are improving with stable exports, focusing on two major themes for the year 2025; China International Capital Corporation believes that the historical bottom of real estate stock valuation may have been established.
The usa offshore wind project is hindered, with industry experts predicting that the usa will complete less than half of its emissions reduction target by 2030.
① The global offshore wind power projects are likely to fail to achieve the previously ambitious goals due to soaring costs, project delays, and insufficient supply chain investment; ② The International Renewable Energy Institutions estimate that the global installed capacity of offshore wind power will fall short of the target by one-third, while other institutions believe that the usa will not be able to achieve half of its emission reduction targets by 2030.
No more 'selling by the catty'! Wind power self-discipline convention 'full moon' industry chain companies see the dawn.
① One month after signing the industry self-discipline convention, several recent projects have been awarded to bidders who did not offer the lowest price, and the bidding party has begun to modify the rules, indicating that the wind power industry is showing signs of breaking away from intense competition; ② Industry insiders indicate that all links of the wind power industry chain still need to continue making efforts, considering the economic benefits generated throughout the entire lifecycle rather than short-term costs, solidifying the results of breaking out of the intense competition.
Jibang Consulting: In October, the domestic photovoltaic expansion cooled significantly, and Chinese photovoltaic companies accelerated their pace of going global.
In October 2024, the prices of the photovoltaic industry chain upstream and downstream basically remained stable, while the phenomenon of supply and demand mismatch still exists, putting continued pressure on the profitability of photovoltaic companies.
The U.S. Can't Beat China at Solar Power. It May Be Time to Join Them. -- Barrons.com