Gold prices have regained upward momentum! Is there still upward potential in the market? How should gold retail brands respond? | Industry dynamics
① After six consecutive declines in spot gold prices, which created the largest weekly drop in three years, this week it regained its upward momentum; ② The listing prices of pure gold trinkets in most domestic brand gold stores are once again nearing 800 yuan per gram, and high gold prices have weakened consumer enthusiasm for purchasing gold; ③ Chow Tai Seng jewellery adopts a strategy to increase low average transaction price and emphasize strong design products; Chow Tai Fook has launched differentiated product series such as Chuanfu and the Palace Museum, which has boosted sales.
Brokerage Morning Meeting Highlights: The historical bottom of real estate stock valuation may have been established.
At today's brokerage morning meeting, China Securities Co.,Ltd. proposed supply-side optimization, suggesting to focus on industries such as steel, photovoltaic, cement, coal, and rare earths; htsc stated that domestic sales of household appliances are improving with stable exports, focusing on two major themes for the year 2025; China International Capital Corporation believes that the historical bottom of real estate stock valuation may have been established.
The usa offshore wind project is hindered, with industry experts predicting that the usa will complete less than half of its emissions reduction target by 2030.
① The global offshore wind power projects are likely to fail to achieve the previously ambitious goals due to soaring costs, project delays, and insufficient supply chain investment; ② The International Renewable Energy Institutions estimate that the global installed capacity of offshore wind power will fall short of the target by one-third, while other institutions believe that the usa will not be able to achieve half of its emission reduction targets by 2030.
Over the past three years, with an increase of over 50%, the gold price has finally fallen. Is it a good time to buy? There is still support in the medium to long term, with a bullish view to $2900.
1. After Trump's election victory, the stimulating power of geopolitical risks on gold prices will decrease, coupled with the central bank's pause in gold purchases interrupting this round of gold price increase; 2. It is expected that gold prices will still fluctuate weakly this week; 3. Institutions believe the target price for gold is set at 2,900 USD/ounce, which means there is still an 11% increase potential.
Myanmar mining area may resume production this week, will rare earth prices fluctuate? Industry insiders: It's difficult for Q4 praseodymium neodymium oxide to exceed 450,000 yuan/ton. | Industry News
① Currently, ceasefire negotiations have taken place in Myanmar's rare earth mining areas, with a rapid resumption of production expected this week, but full production may have to wait until a complete ceasefire; ② Industry insiders believe that if Myanmar mines continue to suspend production, the domestic impact will be minor as there is a sufficient inventory of ion ore in the country, and the prices of medium and heavy rare earths are relatively stable; ③ It is reported that the supply of medium and heavy rare earths in the domestic market exceeds demand, and the consumption levels in both upstream and downstream are low, leading to inventory buildup and making it difficult for prices to rise significantly.
Historically, gold has performed poorly after elections. Will it be different this time?
Citigroup believes that gold may face pressure in the short term after the US election, but the relationship between gold and the "Trump trade" is not significant. The structural bull market of gold remains stable, and investors are advised to buy when the gold price falls, expecting the price to reach $3,000 per ounce in the next 6 months.
102699531 : There was a scammer last month who asked others to purchase at 17.5 and let go at 22.5. Could be scammer pumping up the price and suddenly dump to scam others
AssetEagle OP 102699531 : Scammers typically inflate prices by encouraging victims to queue at rates lower than the market price. For instance, if the current price is 40, they might urge people to queue at 36. In my experience, the scammers I've encountered have never encouraged victims to chase rising prices. However, with this particular stock, they've been relentlessly driving the price up. I'm not entirely sure how they're achieving this or what their endgame is. If they were to advise anyone to queue at 32 or 34 tomorrow, only the most naive would follow, especially considering the price was below 30 just last week.