The current cycle of Traditional Chinese Medicine materials is entering a downturn phase, and pharmaceutical companies may face a cost "turning point."
In the second half of 2024, the prices of Traditional Chinese Medicine materials are expected to decline overall; the semi-annual and third quarter reports of this year show that the gross margin of some Chinese Patent Medicine listed companies has significantly decreased, indicating a notable impact of the fluctuation in Traditional Chinese Medicine material prices on costs. However, with the retreat in Traditional Chinese Medicine material prices, production costs for companies will also decrease.
Morgan Stanley: The undervalued "Gold Triad" of China.
Morgan Stanley pointed out that against the backdrop of intensified geopolitical risks, China gold will benefit from market risk aversion sentiment and be favored by Chinese investors, while expectations of yuan volatility also provide support for gold prices to rise. Zijin Mining Group, SD GOLD, and ZHAOJIN MINING are undervalued in the market, and their production is expected to grow significantly in the next five years. It is anticipated that gold prices will reach $2,850 per ounce in the second quarter of 2025.
The portion of the wuhan TOD project acquired by Overseas Chinese Town for 5.2 billion has been requisitioned for storage, and will continue to be auctioned off in the future.
① Following yuexiu property, the land under Overseas Chinese Town has also been acquired. ② Overseas Chinese Town announced that government departments plan to store their wuhan TOD project land through a coordinated method of "acquisition, allocation, and supply," with an area of approximately 105.32 acres.
Gold prices have regained upward momentum! Is there still upward potential in the market? How should gold retail brands respond? | Industry dynamics
① After six consecutive declines in spot gold prices, which created the largest weekly drop in three years, this week it regained its upward momentum; ② The listing prices of pure gold trinkets in most domestic brand gold stores are once again nearing 800 yuan per gram, and high gold prices have weakened consumer enthusiasm for purchasing gold; ③ Chow Tai Seng jewellery adopts a strategy to increase low average transaction price and emphasize strong design products; Chow Tai Fook has launched differentiated product series such as Chuanfu and the Palace Museum, which has boosted sales.
Over the past three years, with an increase of over 50%, the gold price has finally fallen. Is it a good time to buy? There is still support in the medium to long term, with a bullish view to $2900.
1. After Trump's election victory, the stimulating power of geopolitical risks on gold prices will decrease, coupled with the central bank's pause in gold purchases interrupting this round of gold price increase; 2. It is expected that gold prices will still fluctuate weakly this week; 3. Institutions believe the target price for gold is set at 2,900 USD/ounce, which means there is still an 11% increase potential.
Historically, gold has performed poorly after elections. Will it be different this time?
Citigroup believes that gold may face pressure in the short term after the US election, but the relationship between gold and the "Trump trade" is not significant. The structural bull market of gold remains stable, and investors are advised to buy when the gold price falls, expecting the price to reach $3,000 per ounce in the next 6 months.