"Rate cut trade" and "Trump trade" double blessing: Gold prices approach historic highs.
The market's expectation of a rate cut in September has pushed up the price of gold, while the failed assassination attempt on Trump has further boosted demand for metals as a safe haven.
Global commodity inventory is in a state of emergency: inventory days of available commodities outside of China experienced the largest month-on-month decline in 31 months.
JPMorgan said that the main reason for this decline was due to the decrease in crude oil and refined product inventories. The global available days of oil and refined products in June decreased sharply by 2.5 days, the largest monthly decline in four years.
Optimistic prospects for interest rate cuts have led to a general increase in major overseas asset classes such as US stocks, gold, silver, and crude oil. Weekly report on major overseas assets.
After the release of non-farm data for the week of July 1-5, the US stock and bond markets rose and the US dollar came under pressure. Upon realizing the 'data detail' that the data in the first two months before non-farm was cut by 0.11 million, US bonds sharply rebounded and the yield curve became steeper.
Gold and silver hit new one-month highs! Behind it is not only the boost of non-agricultural employment, but also the "big purchases" of the Reserve Bank of India.
The Non-Farm Payroll report released a significant signal of cooling in the US labor market, with expectations of a Fed interest rate cut rising and the US dollar under pressure. India's central bank gold reserves increased by over 9 tons in June, the highest level since July 2022.
Amidst the low battery prices, hedge funds quietly bought physical cobalt.
This year, the sales of electric autos have been weaker than expected and the cobalt market has experienced a record oversupply, causing spot cobalt prices to drop to a seven-year low. The cobalt futures price, which will be delivered in one year, is already 20% higher than the spot price. A significant spot discount creates opportunities for arbitrage.
Gold Soars Against The Odds: Eastern Buying Spree Or 1970s Redux? Billionaire Investor David Einhorn Thinks There's A 'Secular Trend'
Gold has been on a remarkable rise in 2024, reaching record highs. The surge is attributed to a combination of factors, including the de-dollarization trend, central bank buying, and increased demand