The "debt market storm" has triggered global panic, but the pain may have just begun.
JPMorgan pointed out that factors such as de-globalization, population aging, and increased spending on climate change will drive the 10-year Treasury yield to maintain a level above 4.5% in the long term. Peters from PGIM Fixed Income stated that if under such circumstances the 10-year yield rises above 5%, he "would not be completely shocked at all."
The new U.S. Treasury Secretary's Hold Positions: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Bitcoin, Gold...
Bescent holds over 50 million dollars in S&P 500 and Chinaamc NASDAQ 100 ETF(QDII), between 0.25 million and 0.5 million dollars in iShares Bitcoin REITs ETF, as well as over 50 million dollars in US government bonds. Additionally, it includes various assets such as artworks, antiques, farmland, and luxury homes, with total assets amounting to at least 0.521 billion dollars.
Express News | The Yield on the U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bond Rose to 5%, Marking Its Highest Level Since November 2023
Wall Street warns: If you don't want a big drop in U.S. stocks, tonight's non-farm payroll needs to be "just right."
Bank of America stated that only "Goldilocks" data can keep long-term interest rates below 5%, stabilize interest rate sensitivity, and prevent the Nasdaq's leadership from wavering. "Explosive" data could lead to a decline of about 4% in the S&P 500 Index to 5,666 points.
AI has triggered a wave of layoffs on Wall Street! The number of unemployed individuals in the next three years may exceed 200,000.
The report indicated that in the next 3 to 5 years, due to AI 'encroaching' on human jobs, Global Banks will lay off up to 200,000 people, with backend, mid-office, and Operation positions facing the highest risks. At the same time, 80% of respondents expect that generative AI will increase productivity and income by at least 5% during this period.
Krugman: Is the crazy nature of U.S. debt due to the market believing that Trump will go insane?
Krugman proposed that the rise in long-term interest rates, such as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, may reflect a terrifying, quietly spreading doubt that Trump actually believes the crazy things he says about economic policy and might put them into practice.