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Statistics Bureau: From January to November, national Real Estate Development investment decreased by 10.4% year-on-year.
Today, the National Bureau of Statistics released data showing that from January to November, national Real Estate Development investment was 9363.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.4%; among which, Residence investment was 7119 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.5%.
In many areas of fujian, mortgage rates have been adjusted to 3.1%. Experts say that ultra-low rates are unsustainable and banks are correcting their "involution-style" competition.
①In multiple cities in Fujian Province including Xiamen, Fuzhou, Putian, etc., the housing loan interest rate has been uniformly raised from 3.05% to 3.1%. ②The unclear lower limit of interest rates has caused internal price competition among banks, this adjustment is a correction to excessively low interest rates and does not mean policy tightening.
Will the first home loan interest rate in Qingdao be raised to 3.1%? Several local banks responded.
① Most bank branch staff have indicated that they have not yet received any notification about an increase; a few bank branch personnel, however, admitted that there is a possibility of an increase; ② The cost and revenue of mortgage lending need to be balanced, and some banks previously offered favorable interest rates that are generally at the extreme position of such a smooth line. Even if there are adjustments, mortgage rates remain at a relatively low level overall.
What "bottlenecks" are faced when repurchasing existing land? Real estate companies: price is one important factor.
The "stumbling block" issues that arise in revitalizing idle inventory land include the difficulty of reaching a consensus on the recycling price of the original plots between companies and the government. If the land is reclaimed at the current market price, the willingness of companies to participate is not high. There are many restrictions on the adjustment of land types, which involve the need to make additional land price payments; Analysts believe that the inventory idle land that can generate incremental value and achieve financial balance after being reclaimed, or the focus of current local government acquisitions.
Will the sales of the top 100 real estate companies drop month-on-month in November? Will there be a strong finish in December?
① November is the second complete calendar month after the "926" easing policy. Overall, real estate companies' sales have declined compared to October; ② "It is expected that real estate companies will maintain strong promotional efforts in December to boost performance, and sales in top 100 companies and core cities are likely to continue improving on a month-on-month and year-on-year basis."
Follow up on Guangzhou! First-tier cities all cancel the standard of ordinary and non-ordinary residential properties, what is the market impact?
① With Guangzhou's official announcement today, all four first-tier cities have now canceled the standards for ordinary residences and non-ordinary residences. ② "For first-tier cities, after canceling the standards for ordinary residences and non-ordinary residences, it can significantly reduce the value-added tax costs in the second-hand housing trade process, lower transaction costs, and promote improving demand."
The unchanged LPR in November meets market expectations. Industry insiders do not rule out the possibility of further interest rate cuts next year along with the reverse repurchase rate.
① By the end of the year, the economic running is expected to continue its upward trend, with policy interest rates likely to remain stable and LPR quote also expected to stay unchanged. ② There is a high possibility of further reductions in deposit rates in the future, coupled with the issuance of special treasury bonds to support large state-owned commercial banks in replenishing their core tier one capital, which is expected to gradually alleviate the interest spread and operational pressure for commercial banks. It is possible that next year the LPR quote may be accompanied by further interest rate cuts on reverse repurchase agreements.
Brokerage Morning Meeting Highlights: The historical bottom of real estate stock valuation may have been established.
At today's brokerage morning meeting, China Securities Co.,Ltd. proposed supply-side optimization, suggesting to focus on industries such as steel, photovoltaic, cement, coal, and rare earths; htsc stated that domestic sales of household appliances are improving with stable exports, focusing on two major themes for the year 2025; China International Capital Corporation believes that the historical bottom of real estate stock valuation may have been established.
Changsha's housing provident fund introduces new policies: the minimum down payment ratio for the first and second set of housing is 20%, and the maximum loan amount can be increased to four times.
①Employees' families purchasing their first or second improved self-occupied housing applying for housing provident fund loans, the minimum down payment ratio is uniformly adjusted to 20%; ②The maximum loan amount for high-level talents in categories A, B, C, and D purchasing their first self-occupied housing can be increased to four times the maximum loan amount in Changsha.
Among first-tier cities, shanghai was the first to cancel the standard for regular and non-regular residential properties, and it has comprehensively reduced the cost of housing trade taxes and fees.
① Shanghai is the first of the four first-tier cities to abolish the standards for ordinary and non-ordinary residential properties, and it is expected that the other three first-tier cities will also quickly eliminate the relevant standards. ② The latest policies in Shanghai will reduce personal income tax and housing transaction tax, making transaction costs more reasonable, while better meeting residents' replacement needs; these measures will enhance the confidence of market participants and are beneficial for further stabilizing market expectations.
From accounts payable to cash compensation, yuexiu property has consolidated funds totaling 13.5 billion yuan through three rounds of storage.
① Cash compensation exceeds 1.5 billion yuan, yuexiu property's land parcel is once again acquired. ② Yuexiu has had 3 land parcels acquired, with a total of 13.53 billion yuan in funds retrieved, and the compensation method changed from accounts payable to cash compensation.
This year, the cumulative issuance of real estate bonds decreased by 20% year-on-year, indicating a possible policy turning point.
Tail risk mitigation, configuration plate can seize the secondary securities selection opportunity.
First-time home loan interest rates in cities such as Hangzhou, Nanjing, and Suzhou have returned to the "3" level. The interest rate for provident fund loans may be even further reduced due to inversion.
Hangzhou, Nanjing, Suzhou and other places have successively adjusted mortgage interest rates. Industry insiders believe that in the current stabilization trend of the real estate market, cities raising the lower limit of mortgage interest rates have a certain significance as an indicator.
The sales of the top 100 real estate companies in Silver October have turned the corner, with over 80% performance growth compared to the previous month.
①Affected by favorable policies and real estate developers' promotions, the sales of the top 100 real estate companies in October achieved a year-over-year positive growth for the first time this year. ②Among them, 83 real estate companies saw a month-on-month sales increase, with 33 more compared to September; 38 real estate companies experienced a year-on-year sales growth, with 22 more than in September.
Rules for the normalization of existing house loan interest rates have arrived! Understand it in one article.
①Preliminary statistics show that as of October 28, 21 nationwide banks have completed batch adjustments, totaling 53.667 million transactions, reducing the outstanding housing loan interest rates by 25.2 trillion yuan. ②After this round of batch adjustments, the interest rates for existing housing loans have been reduced to 3.3%. If the gap between existing and new housing loan rates is greater than 30 basis points, it will drive a new round of reductions in existing housing loan rates.
First-tier cities' real estate market heats up in October: Guangzhou and Shenzhen lead the way, followed closely by Beijing and Shanghai.
1. It has been a month since the "stabilizing the decline" proposed at the end of the September Politburo meeting, with the first-tier city housing market heating up and the stabilizing trend becoming apparent; 2. Looking at the transaction data for October in first-tier cities, the market heat in Guangzhou and Shenzhen is significantly better than in Beijing and Shanghai.
shanghai real estate market new policy has been in effect for a month: market activity has significantly increased, both new and second-hand housing sales volumes have risen.
①From what we have observed, the willingness of home buyers to enter the market has significantly increased before the introduction of the new policy, and their market entry enthusiasm has greatly improved, with the home buyer decision-making cycle also shortened. ②Not only Shanghai, but also the four first-tier cities and hot cities have shown signs of market recovery across the country after the introduction of a package of real estate market optimization measures at the end of September.
The implementation of the 4 trillion 'white list' crediting is in progress. Real estate companies: Ensuring delivery is maintaining confidence.
① "Stable market confidence has multiple aspects and levels, with on-time delivery being one of the important aspects." ② "If pre-sale of existing houses is the higher goal, then the whitelist mechanism, considered by the industry as a bottom-line important measure, is to ensure that projects can be delivered, allowing home buyers to purchase with more peace of mind, which will play a quite solid role in strengthening market confidence."
Adjustment starting today! Major commercial banks are collectively adjusting the existing housing loan interest rates. Some small and medium-sized banks will complete the adjustment by the end of the month. A 1.25 million 25-year mortgage in Peking can sa
①Major commercial banks such as Industrial and Commercial, Agricultural, Bank of China, Construction, Communication, and Postal Savings Bank of China have collectively adjusted the interest rates of existing home loans that meet the criteria today, with some small and medium-sized banks expected to complete the process by the end of the month at the latest. ②With the combination of recent real estate support policies, there are certain signs of stabilizing and stopping the decline in the real estate market, and the phenomenon of early repayment has been alleviated.
Existing home loan interest rates are collectively adjusted today, with clients in shanghai seeing a reduction of 65 basis points in rates for those owning two properties.
Starting today, most existing home loans will undergo batch adjustments. State-owned major banks and other banks have already completed the adjustment of mortgage rates, while the adjustment process for some small to medium-sized banks may be slightly delayed.