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Bank of America's outlook for the bulk market in 2025: Tariffs cast a shadow over the global market, crude oil enters an oversupply cycle, with gold shining alone, soaring straight to $3,000.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch expects that due to a significant increase in production from non-OPEC countries, coupled with the possibility of OPEC+ releasing more supply, the crude oil market may enter a surplus cycle, with the average annual price of Brent crude oil expected to be $65 per barrel. Basic metals are experiencing price fluctuations amid differentiated supply and demand. Driven by macroeconomic uncertainty and risk aversion sentiment, gold remains one of the most attractive precious metals in 2025.
Trump's tariff plan angers many? US oil industry warns: rbob gasoline costs rise exacerbating consumer burden
① President-elect Trump of the usa threatens to impose a 25% tariff on products from Mexico and Canada, causing concerns in the oil rbob gasoline industry; ② U.S. refineries highly rely on crude oil imports. The American Petroleum Institute warns that tariffs will raise refining costs and gasoline prices, exacerbating consumer burden; ③ Analysts believe the likelihood of Trump implementing the tariff plan is small.
French miners lament that the profitability of nickel mining business cannot be achieved without china technology and equipment.
① The multinational mining giant Ehmann stated that western companies cannot make a profit in the nickel mining business in Indonesia without relying on china's technology, equipment, and management experience; ② Ehmann and BASF have canceled the 2.6 billion dollar nickel-cobalt refining plant project in Indonesia due to it being 'economically unfeasible'; ③ Ehmann is collaborating with China’s Qingshan Holding to operate the nickel mine in Weda Bay, with the CEO stating that china's technology, expertise, and equipment are key to competitiveness.
Gold will continue to shine! Goldman Sachs: it will reach 3000 dollars next year, with global central banks being the 'main driver'.
① Goldman Sachs predicts that gold prices may reach $3,000 per ounce next year, as central banks around the world continue to buy gold in large quantities; ② the firm also believes that gold is the preferred trade for combating inflation and geopolitical issues in 2025.
The gold price has returned to $2700, and China Construction Bank continues to raise the entry threshold for individual gold rsp, conservative and cautious customers will no longer be able to invest in this product.
On the evening of November 22, China Construction Bank Corporation announced that starting from tomorrow, it will adjust the risk rating of the Easy Gold (physical gold rsp) product to 'medium risk.' Conservative and cautious customers will not be able to carry out the aforementioned 'Easy Gold' corresponding trades.
Spot gold briefly rose above the $2,700 mark as the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine highlighted the appeal of safe-haven assets.
① The spot gold price is expected to achieve the largest weekly increase in over a year this week, reaching a daily high of $2700.21 per ounce; ② The situation between Russia and Ukraine has become complicated, with Russia testing a "new type of medium-range hypersonic missile"; ③ Global central bank bids have driven gold prices to rise more than 30% since the beginning of the year.
Fran31 : % up is still so small,
1.7B hkd just piece of cake